158 FXUS62 KFFC 290246 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1045 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013 .UPDATE... NO CHANGES PLANNED TO FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING EXCEPT SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO OVERNIGHT SKY COVER. 41 .PREVIOUS... .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. THE SEA BREEZE AND DAYTIME HEATING HAS HELPED SCT CU DEVELOP ACROSS THE CWFA THIS AFTERNOON. CU SHOULD DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AFTER SUNSET. MODELS DO BRING SOME LOWER CLOUDS IN ACROSS THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. HAVE INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THESE AREAS OVERNIGHT. ALSO...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. FORECAST EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH TOMORROW. LITTLE/IF ANY FORCING IS NOTED AT THE SURFACE...AND HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL HELP SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT SO FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY. TOOK BLEND FOR TEMPS...VALUES SHOULD BE AT OR JUST SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. NLISTEMAA .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BUT STILL THINK POPS BELOW 20 PERCENT AT THIS TIME. INCREASED POPS MOSTLY IN THE SUNDAY TO MONDAY TIME FRAME BASED ON INCREASED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT...FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY MONDAY. FRONT MAY NOT CLEAR THE AREA FOR TUESDAY SO HAVE CONTINUED POPS FOR THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL GA. BDL PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BUILDING THE H5 HIGH OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE CWA MAINLY DRY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND. THE H5 HIGH WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD AS AN H5 TROUGH MOVES INTO THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST...A SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE BRINGING GULF MOISTURE TO THE CWA. THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA MONDAY WHICH SHOULD BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE CWA. 17 && .AVIATION... 00Z UPDATE... MODELS ARE FORECASTING A SCT-BKN DECK OF MORNING STRATUS. HAVE INCLUDED BKN012 FOR THE TAF SITES 11Z-14Z. SOME MVFR VISIBILITY ALSO POSSIBLE. STRATUS SHOULD LIFT INTO SCATTERED CUMULUS 040-050 AFTER 15Z. VARIABLE TO LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS OVERNIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10KT AFTER 14Z. //ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE... HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS...EXCEPT MEDIUM TO HIGH ON MORNING STRATUS. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 62 84 63 86 / 0 5 5 10 ATLANTA 63 84 66 83 / 0 5 5 10 BLAIRSVILLE 58 80 60 83 / 5 5 5 10 CARTERSVILLE 63 86 64 85 / 0 5 5 10 COLUMBUS 65 88 69 89 / 0 5 5 10 GAINESVILLE 62 83 64 82 / 5 5 5 10 MACON 63 87 65 87 / 0 5 5 10 ROME 63 87 64 86 / 5 5 5 10 PEACHTREE CITY 61 85 64 84 / 0 5 5 10 VIDALIA 65 88 68 90 / 0 5 5 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...41 LONG TERM....BDL AVIATION...41