882 FLUS44 KOUN 280959 HWOOUN HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 500 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281700- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 500 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. LOCATION... THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM PERRY... TO EL RENO... TO LAWTON OKLAHOMA... TO BURKBURNETT AND ARCHER CITY TEXAS. IMPACTS... THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND WIND GUSTS OF 70 MPH. TIMING... THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FROM 4 PM THROUGH MIDNIGHT. RECOMMENDED ACTIONS... STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DISCUSSION... THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... HOWEVER NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY IF IT DOES DEVELOP. A DRYLINE WILL TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DAYTIME HEATING ALONG WITH LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON. MODEST INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS WILL RESULT IN THE STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP LIKELY BECOMING SEVERE. THESE STORMS... INITIALLY EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA... WILL MOVE EAST AND NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MAY 28. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...70 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... STRONG... GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS... ESPECIALLY ON EAST WEST ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEK. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON TODAY. $$