315 FXUS62 KFFC 241956 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 356 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... PLEASANT WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE SHORT TERM. CLOUDS THAT LINGERED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MUCH OF THE MORNING HAVE DISSIPATED AND SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT. NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE AREA ALOFT WHILE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION CONTINUES TO DOMINATE AT THE SFC. WITH THE SFC HIGH INFLUENCING THE CWA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT AND APPROACHES NORTH GEORGIA BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT HOWEVER NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SHORTWAVE AND THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH AHN LOW TEMP FORECAST FOR TONIGHT IS CLOSE TO A RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE...MCN IS THE ONLY PLACE FORECAST TO TIE THE RECORD MIN. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THOUGH...TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND AM NOT FORECASTING ANY RECORD BREAKING LOWS. MAX TEMPS ON SATURDAY WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. 11 .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE MODELS KEEP THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA...THOUGH A SHORT WAVE RIDES OVER THE RIDGE THAT COULD THREATEN SOME OF THE NORTHERN COUNTIES WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY. HOWEVER...WE CHOSE NOT TO INCLUDE THE MENTIONING OF SHOWERS AT THIS TIME...AS MOISTURE WAS LIMITED. AS THE FLOW CONTINUED AROUND THE HIGH...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS ALABAMA AND NORTHERN GEORGIA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY... AND POSING THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AGAIN...THROUGH NOT ALOT OF MOISTURE PRESENT FOR THIS EVENT EITHER. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...STARTING IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S FOR MORNING LOWS SUNDAY...AND PEAKING IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S BY FRIDAY. 37 && .FIRE WEATHER... FUELS ARE DRY ACROSS MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITH WINDS SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LOWER ON SATURDAY...RH VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR AROUND 4 HOURS SO WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THIS FOR A POTENTIAL FIRE DANGER STATEMENT NEEDED FOR SATURDAY. && .CLIMATE... RECORDS FOR 05-25 MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW ------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- KAHN 100 1926 65 1979 71 2004 46 1979 1956 KATL 93 1960 63 1895 72 2004 46 1979 1953 1953 KCSG 95 2012 71 1979 75 2000 51 1979 2011 1956 1953 KMCN 98 1953 65 1923 74 2000 49 1979 RECORDS FOR 05-26 MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW ------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- KAHN 99 1911 63 1963 72 2004 41 1979 KATL 94 1936 64 1923 73 1989 43 1979 1916 1901 1911 KCSG 97 2012 75 1961 74 2000 47 1979 1989 KMCN 98 1962 69 1901 72 1921 49 1979 && .AVIATION... 18Z UPDATE... VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THE FEW050 CLOUDS IN THE ATL METRO AREA SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS. MAIN CHALLENGE OF THE TAF IS THE TIMING OF THE WIND SHIFTS AND AT THIS POINT HAVE GONE TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF GUIDANCE IN TERMS OF TIMING. //ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE... HIGH CONFIDENCE ON CIGS AND VSBYS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON TIMING OF WIND SHIFTS. 11 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 47 78 52 83 / 0 0 0 5 ATLANTA 52 77 57 82 / 0 0 0 5 BLAIRSVILLE 41 75 47 76 / 0 0 5 10 CARTERSVILLE 46 79 48 83 / 0 0 0 10 COLUMBUS 55 82 57 86 / 0 0 0 5 GAINESVILLE 49 77 54 80 / 0 0 0 10 MACON 49 81 52 85 / 0 0 0 5 ROME 46 79 48 83 / 0 0 0 10 PEACHTREE CITY 45 79 48 84 / 0 0 0 5 VIDALIA 54 84 56 86 / 0 0 0 5 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...11 LONG TERM....37 AVIATION...11