524 FXUS64 KHGX 022035 AFDHGX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 335 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013 .DISCUSSION... COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTN WITH NORTH- ERLY WINDS/COLD AIR ADVECTION SLOWLY DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE. NOT TOO MANY CHANGES PLANNED WITH THIS FCST PACKAGE AS THINGS APPEAR TO BE GOING ACCORDING TO PLAN. A STRONG/PERSISTENT OFFSHORE FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH LATE FRI BUT A SECOND REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL/ DRY AIR SET TO MOVE INTO SE TX LATE SAT. THEREAFTER...WEAK UPPER RIDGING TO HOLD EVEN AS RETURN FLOW RETURNS LATE MON. NO SIGNIF- ICANT ISSUES FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK AS A SLOW WARMING TREND TAKES PLACE. THE NEXT BEST CHANCES FOR PCPN NOT UNTIL NEXT SAT (AS PER LONG RANGE GUIDANCE). IN THE MEANWHILE STRONG N/NWLY WINDS WILL KEEP THE WIND ADVISORY IN PLACE FOR MOST OF SE TX THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WE COULD SEE SOME VERY STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS (20-30 MPH) WITH EVEN HIGH- ER GUSTS (UP TO 35-40 MPH) TONIGHT. 41 && .MARINE... STRONG NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE GALE FORCE LATER THIS EVENING...CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...THEN SLOWLY TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY TO SMALL CRAFT. IN ADDITION...THESE OFFSHORE WINDS WILL ALSO TRANSPORT WATER OUT OF AREA BAYS. WATER LEVELS WILL RUN 1 TO 2 FEET BELOW NORMAL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BRINGING AN INCREASED RISK TO VESSEL GROUNDINGS...ESPECIALLY NEAR TIMES OF LOW TIDE. ISSUED A LOW WATER ADVISORY. NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE ONGOING FCST. HIGH PRES WILL MOVE FROM THE RIO GRANDE INTO THE NW GULF LATE FRI NITE & SAT ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH & BECOME SW AND SEAS LOWERING. MAY SEE A WEAK REINFORCING FRONT ON SUNDAY BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW. CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVSY CRITERIA THOUGH. LIGHT WINDS MON-WED UNTIL ONSHORE FLOW CAN BECOME ESTABLISHED. 47 && .FIRE WEATHER... ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS (15 TO 25 MPH) AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO A 25%-35% RANGE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER WATCH AND/OR RED FLAG WARNING...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ATTM AS CONDITIONS LOOK TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE CRITERIA. 47 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 39 64 42 75 48 / 10 0 0 0 0 HOUSTON (IAH) 45 65 44 76 53 / 10 10 0 0 0 GALVESTON (GLS) 49 66 55 70 59 / 10 10 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: HOUSTON...LIBERTY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY. WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS... COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS... JACKSON...MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...WALKER... WALLER...WASHINGTON...WHARTON. GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM... WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM. LOW WATER ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 4 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY. GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM... WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM. && $$