183 FXUS65 KBOI 190931 AFDBOI AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID 331 AM MDT TUE MAR 19 2013 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WARMER TODAY AND MORE SUN ACROSS CENTRAL IDAHO. AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL LIFT FROM NEVADA THIS MORNING ACROSS OREGON AND FAR SW IDAHO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOIST SW FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF THE NEXT STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT...WILL PRODUCE RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL IDAHO THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. STRONG COLD FRONT WITH GUST WINDS WILL MOVE INTO OREGON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. .LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH DEEPENS OVER THE ROCKIES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODELS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER FROM ABOUT 6000 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THE VALLEY FLOORS BY THURSDAY MORNING. SNOWFALLS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL IDAHO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO ON THURSDAY. ALSO EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE ROCKIES FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO START A SLOW RECOVERY FROM 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO NEAR NORMAL BY MONDAY. && .AVIATION...VFR TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS AREAS OF MVFR RAIN AND SNOW DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN OREGON AND CENTRAL IDAHO. PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AFTER 06Z WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM 4500 FEET IN THE CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS TO OVER 7000 FEET IN SOUTHEAST OREGON. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING...THEN SOUTHEAST 10-15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE WEST UP TO 25 KTS AT 10K FEET MSL. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...NONE. OR...NONE. && $$ WEATHER.GOV/BOISE SHORT TERM...VM LONG TERM....JT AVIATION.....JT