905 
FXUS62 KMLB 091455
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
955 AM EST SAT MAR 9 2013

.DISCUSSION...

...ROUGH POUNDING SURF/HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK/HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING TOWARD THE EASTERN U.S. COASTLINE IS
VEERING LOW LEVEL WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. THIS ONSHORE FLOW
WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY MODIFY THE DRIER AIRMASS OVER THE AREA AND
ALSO INCREASE TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE NEAR TO JUST BELOW
NORMAL WITH VALUES NEAR 70/LOW 70S ALONG THE COAST TO MID 70S
INLAND. SKIES WILL START OUT SUNNY WITH PERHAPS A FEW MARINE
STRATOCU CLOUDS MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST...THEN INCREASING
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA INTO THE AFTERNOON FROM
AN APPROACHING CIRRUS DECK FROM THE WEST.

MAIN CONCERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS
INCREASING OVER THE WATERS TODAY FROM THE POWERFUL AND SLOW MOVING
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLC COAST. THIS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS
BREAKING WAVES UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET AND GENERATE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS THAT WILL MAKE THE SURF ZONE VERY HAZARDOUS. A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS. 

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY/TONIGHT...NO CHANGES NEEDED TO THE FORECAST. (MODIFIED
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION) LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELLS ARE AFFECTING
THE WATERS AND SEA HEIGHTS ARE RAMPING UP AT BUOY 009...MOST
RECENTLY AT 8-9 FT WITH A PERIOD OF 14 SEC...INDICATING VERY
ENERGETIC WAVES. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST AROUND 10 TO 15
KNOTS INTO THE AFTERNOON. SEA HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN UP TO 9 FT
OFFSHORE TODAY...AND UP TO 11 FT TONIGHT. SEAS 5-8 FEET
NEARSHORE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR SEAS CONTINUES ACROSS ALL OUR
ATLC COASTAL WATERS.
 
THE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS NEAR
INLETS ESPECIALLY DURING THE OUTGOING TIDE.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TODAY...(PREVIOUS DISCUSSION) VEERING WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST
SHOULD BRING THE MARINE LAYER INLAND QUICKER SO RH VALUES 30-35
PERCENT ARE ANTICIPATED ONLY FOR A COUPLE HOURS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR. HOWEVER...AS THE MARINE LAYER SURGES INLAND...A PERIOD
OF GUSTY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WILL LIKELY OCCUR...SO CONTROL OF
WILDFIRES COULD BECOME MORE OF A PROBLEM.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-
     INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST. 
     LUCIE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY 
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD 
     COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET 
     TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA 
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS 
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 
     NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

WEITLICH/GLITTO