531 FXUS62 KJAX 171441 AFDJAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 940 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013 ...COLD WEATHER SNAP CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY THRU 10 AM FOR PORTIONS OF NE FL... .UPDATE...THE HARD FREEZE WARNING EXPIRED AT 9 AM WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING FROM LOWS IN THE MID 20S INLAND (26 AT JAX) TO LOW 30S COAST. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR OUR EASTERN FL ZONES WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM. SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION FROM THE GULF COAST. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH ALONG THE COAST AND 10 TO 15 MPH INLAND THIS MORNING...TO NEAR 10 MPH THIS AFTN AS SUBSIDENCE INCREASES OVER THE AREA. HIGHS WILL ONLY RISE INTO THE LOW 50S...BUT STILL WELL ABOVE RECORD MIN MAX TEMPS FOR THE DATE. HARD FREEZE WARNING FOR TONIGHT IS ON TRACK WITH 06Z GUIDANCE SUPPORTING MIN TEMPS IN THE LOW 20S INLAND TO NEAR 30 ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. ALSO EXPECT PATCHY/AREAS OF FROST. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. && .MARINE...WIND GUSTS AT OFFSHORE BUOYS NOW BELOW GALE FORCE AS EXPECTED WITH GRADIENT WEAKENING. WILL LET WARNING EXPIRE AT 10 AM. SUSTAINED WINDS STILL OVER 20 KNOTS WITH ELEVATED SEAS SO WILL GO WITH SCA OFFSHORE AND SCEC NEAR SHORE. RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY AND MONDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 51 24 63 40 / 0 0 10 20 SSI 50 32 56 48 / 0 0 10 10 JAX 51 25 61 42 / 0 0 10 10 SGJ 50 32 60 51 / 0 0 10 10 GNV 53 23 65 42 / 0 0 0 10 OCF 54 24 66 45 / 0 0 10 10 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON- SUWANNEE-UNION. HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR CLAY-DUVAL-FLAGLER-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS. WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR CLAY-DUVAL- FLAGLER-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS. GA...HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COFFEE- ECHOLS-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE. HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN. AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE. GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM. && $$ ENYEDI/ZIBURA/WALKER