273 
FXUS64 KBMX 030220 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
820 PM CST WED JAN 2 2013

.UPDATE...
EVENING FORECAST UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

BAND OF PRECIPITATION ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO INTERSTATE 59 HAS BEEN 
MAKING SLOW BUT STEADY PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS 
EVENING. THE PRECIP IS VERY LIGHT...AND IN MOST CASES NOTHING MORE 
THAN JUST ENOUGH TO WET THE PAVEMENT. HAVING SAID THAT...REPORTS 
COMING IN CONFIRM THAT THE LIGHT RAIN IS AT TIMES MIXED WITH A 
LITTLE LIGHT SLEET. TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 
40S...SO ANYTHING FROZEN THAT MAKES IT TO THE GROUND QUICKLY MELTS 
UPON REACHING THE GROUND. THIS IS ALL HANDLED NICELY WITH THE 
ONGOING FORECAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST A LIGHT MIXTURE OF 
RAIN AND SLEET FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING.

ALL-IN-ALL...THE FORECAST IS IN VERY GOOD SHAPE AND WILL ONLY NEED 
TO MAKE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS ON THE EVENING UPDATE. WILL HAVE 
UPDATED FORECASTS OUT BY 9 PM.

/61/

&&


.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MODELS NOT HANDLING STRATUS WELL. SO USING A COMBO OF CONSISTENCY
AND DELAYED CLEARING AS HIGH CLOUD COVER NOT HELPING LOW LEVEL
CLEARING TONIGHT. SHOULD HAVE SHORT WAVE MOVING ALONG BY MORNING
SO THAT WOULD HELP USHER SOME OF THE CIRRUS OUT OF THE WAY DURING
THE DAY THU WHICH SHOULD HELP. NOT EXPECTING ANY LOWER THAN LAST
NIGHT EITHER. SO HAVE TAPERED BACK SOME ON THE IFR CIGS WITH
TEMPOS FOR LESS HOURS AND MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR
NON VFR. BUT STILL TAKING A BIT LONGER FOR THE CIRRUS TO CLEAR.
ALTHOUGH SOME ECHOS EXIST ON RADAR...ITS MOSTLY JUST CLOUDS WITH
LITTLE PRECIP MAKING IT TO THE GROUND AND TOO LOW A PROBABILITY TO
ADD TO TAFS.

08/MK

&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE. 

&&

$$