012 FNUS53 KLBF 212003 FWFLBF FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 203 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... UPDATE...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW CRITICAL VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN PANHANDLE INTO PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN SANDHILLS...NEARING 10 TO 15 PERCENT IN SOME CASES. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH NEAR RECORD LEVELS AS WELL. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST TO OVER 25 MPH AT TIMES IN THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED ELSEWHERE OTHER THAN ZONE 204 AT THIS TIME...THOUGH THIS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY THIS AFTERNOON. REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WAS LEFT UNCHANGED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND WILL INCREASE WINDS INTO THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE...BUT AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NEZ204-220030- EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR- 103 PM MST WED NOV 21 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-6300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 3000-9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. $$ NEZ210-220030- FRENCHMAN BASIN- 203 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012 .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THANKSGIVING DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-4300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 2100-6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. $$ NEZ206-220030- SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/ SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST- 203 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012 .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-6300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 3400-9000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. $$ NEZ208-220030- NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR- 103 PM MST WED NOV 21 2012 .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4800-9400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. $$ NEZ219-220030- LOESS PLAINS- 203 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012 .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THANKSGIVING DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 2300-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. $$ NEZ209-220030- LOUP RIVERS BASIN- 203 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012 .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 2700-8000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. $$ JWS