974 
FXUS65 KTFX 061641
AFDTFX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1041 AM MDT THU SEP 6 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROF MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
CONTINUES TO CAUSE SOME LIGHT PRECIP HOWEVER WIDESPREAD/HEAVY
AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED. MOST PRECIP WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH
MOVEMENT OF THE TROF EASTWARD. HOWEVER...THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ZONES AND A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS COULD SNEAK
FURTHER SOUTH. WILL UPDATE TO FRESHEN FIRST PERIOD POPS AND WX.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1140Z.
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA THROUGH THE 
MORNING HOURS...MAINLY NORTH OF A GREAT FALLS TO LEWISTOWN LINE. 
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...BUT SOME MVFR CONDITIONS ARE 
POSSIBLE IN/NEAR SHOWERS...ALONG WITH SOME MOUNTAINS BEING OBSCURED 
THIS MORNING. EXPECT GRADUALLY CLEARING SKIES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH 
TONIGHT...WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. BRUSDA

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES...WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER....AND
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL REDUCE FIRE DANGER TODAY AS
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE THE 30 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE 
THIS AFTN. HOWEVER...EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE A 
TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS WITH MANY LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING ANY 
PRECIPITATION...BRINGING LITTLE IMPROVEMENT TO THE CURRENT VERY DRY 
FUELS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MT. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME 
PROGRESSIVELY WARMER AND DRIER ON FRI AND SAT AS A HIGH PRESSURE 
RIDGING RETURNS TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. 
WARANAUSKAS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  65  41  76  44 /  30  10   0   0 
CTB  64  37  75  41 /  40  10   0   0 
HLN  65  41  77  44 /  30  10   0   0 
BZN  66  34  75  37 /  30  10   0   0 
WEY  68  26  71  28 /  10  10   0  10 
DLN  67  37  75  40 /  10  10   0   0 
HVR  69  39  77  40 /  20  10   0   0 
LWT  62  37  72  40 /  30  10   0   0 

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS