130 FNUS54 KLCH 272214 FWFLCH FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA FOR LOUISIANA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 .DISCUSSION... INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC NEARS THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. THE EXTENT OF IMPACTS RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA TOMORROW AFTERNOON...SPREADING NORTH INTO EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA' TOMORROW NIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST AND FARTHER INLAND. TXZ180-201-259>262-281015- TYLER-HARDIN-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER- SOUTHERN NEWTON- 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (0) 95 (0) 75 90 RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-5) 43 (-2) 79 48 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) N 8 G15 N 15 G19 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 5 N 12 G18 N 13 G16 N 16 G21 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.06 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 1 AM CONTINUING 7 AM CONTINUING MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 89 2747 93 2592 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)293 9012 304 8503 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 NE 12 N 9 N 13 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 NE 28 N 20 N 30 CATEGORY DAY 1 5 1 5 DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT POOR EXCELLENT LAL 1-8 STRIKES 1-8 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES VENT RATE (M/S-M) 623 32964 837 33696 SILT/500 MLT (F) 86 84 KEETCH-BYRAM 501-600 501-600 501-600 501-600 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ LAZ027-030-031-281015- VERNON-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN- 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 40 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (0) 93 (-2) 76 88 RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-8) 45 (+3) 84 56 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) N 10 G18 N 17 G29 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 6 N 14 G21 N 14 G21 N 18 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 2 PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 1 AM CONTINUING 7 AM CONTINUING MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 55 2643 89 2225 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)179 8671 291 7300 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 NE 15 N 11 N 16 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 NE 33 N 25 N 36 CATEGORY DAY 1 5 1 5 DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT POOR EXCELLENT LAL 1-8 STRIKES 1-8 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 16-25 STRIKES VENT RATE (M/S-M) 385 39645 979 35600 SILT/500 MLT (F) 85 82 KEETCH-BYRAM 501-600 501-600 501-600 501-600 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ LAZ028-029-032-033-281015- RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY- 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 70 70 TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+1) 92 (-3) 75 87 RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-8) 45 (+7) 90 58 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) N 13 G20 N 26 G46 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 6 N 17 G31 N 20 G37 N 27 G48 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.28 0.47 PRECIP DURATION 1 6 9 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 AM CONTINUING MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 36 2472 97 2193 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)117 8109 319 7195 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 NE 16 N 13 N 18 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 18 NE 36 N 29 N 40 CATEGORY DAY 1 5 1 5 DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT POOR EXCELLENT LAL 1-8 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES >25 STRIKES >25 STRIKES VENT RATE (M/S-M) 288 39552 1261 39474 SILT/500 MLT (F) 83 79 KEETCH-BYRAM 501-600 501-600 501-600 401-500 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH. .THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ TXZ215-216-281015- JEFFERSON-ORANGE- 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-1) 93 (0) 76 90 RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-6) 45 (-1) 82 52 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) N 10 G16 NW 16 G23 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 8 N 13 G19 N 12 G16 N 16 G25 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.06 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 1 AM CONTINUING 7 AM CONTINUING MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 51 2430 81 2160 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)166 7971 265 7088 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 N 11 NW 8 N 12 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 17 N 25 NW 17 N 28 CATEGORY DAY 1 5 1 5 DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT POOR EXCELLENT LAL 1-8 STRIKES 1-8 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES VENT RATE (M/S-M) 408 26730 648 25920 SILT/500 MLT (F) 85 84 KEETCH-BYRAM 301-400 301-400 301-400 301-400 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ LAZ041-042-073-074-281015- CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON- 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 40 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (-2) 93 (0) 77 87 RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-11) 46 (+1) 88 58 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) N 12 G23 N 19 G34 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 8 G12 N 14 G28 N 16 G33 N 19 G34 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.19 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 AM CONTINUING MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 40 2545 103 1802 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)132 8349 339 5912 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 N 13 N 10 N 13 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 18 N 29 N 23 N 30 CATEGORY DAY 1 5 1 5 DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT POOR EXCELLENT LAL 1-8 STRIKES 1-8 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 16-25 STRIKES VENT RATE (M/S-M) 320 33085 1030 23426 SILT/500 MLT (F) 84 81 KEETCH-BYRAM 301-400 301-400 301-400 301-400 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ LAZ043>045-052>055-281015- ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY- LOWER ST. MARTIN- 514 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 80 80 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (0) 89 (-4) 76 86 RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-10) 54 (+15) 95 67 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) N 17 G41 NW 29 G58 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 9 G15 N 23 G46 N 27 G52 NW 25 G60 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.09 0.51 0.58 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 7 12 PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 AM CONTINUING MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 36 1904 123 1504 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)119 6247 405 4934 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 10 N 15 N 15 N 18 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 22 N 35 N 35 N 39 CATEGORY DAY 1 5 1 5 DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT POOR EXCELLENT LAL 1-8 STRIKES >25 STRIKES >25 STRIKES >25 STRIKES VENT RATE (M/S-M) 360 28560 1845 27072 SILT/500 MLT (F) 80 77 KEETCH-BYRAM 201-300 201-300 201-300 < 200 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ 13