278 FNUS54 KJAN 301944 FWFJAN FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 .DISCUSSION...THE LARGE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL REMAIN DOMINANT OVER OUR REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THE RESULTING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS OUR AREA WILL BRING A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES THAT WILL RESULT IN CHANCES FOR RAIN MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN ZONES. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE STRONG AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. OTHERWISE...WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. PATCHY SHALLOW LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST AND SOUTH BUT DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED. ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-311015- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 19 TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-1) 100 (-2) 75 99 RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-5) 43 (+11) 94 43 20FT WND/AM(MPH) W 5 SW 3 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 4 NW 4 N 3 W 5 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 <0.10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 2611 2651 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 8567 8696 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 8 W 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 17 W 6 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 20888 7953 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 145639 52176 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 STABILITY F A-B F A-B WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 1 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 6 23 4 21 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-311015- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS- HOLMES- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...NORTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 35 21 0 18 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-1) 98 (-2) 73 97 RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+3) 45 (+7) 98 43 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SW 3 S 3 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 4 NW 4 N 3 W 5 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 1 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 0.10-0.25 <0.10 <0.10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 2461 2601 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 8074 8535 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 8 NW 4 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 17 NW 9 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 19688 10404 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 137258 76815 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 4 STABILITY F A F A-B WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 6 AM PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 1 1 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 6 27 3 24 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ028>033-037>039-311015- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...NORTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 56 38 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (-1) 93 (-2) 72 97 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 52 (+11) 98 47 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 3 SW 3 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 3 W 5 LGT/VAR W 4 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 6 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.25-0.50 0.10-0.25 <0.10 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1946 2488 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 6384 8164 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 NW 4 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 17 NW 8 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 15568 9952 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 108528 65312 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 4 4 STABILITY F A-B F A WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 1 1 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 5 39 2 23 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ040>044-047>050-311015- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 33 31 17 21 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-2) 97 (-3) 74 98 RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-2) 47 (+8) 98 45 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SW 4 W 3 20FT WND/PM(MPH) W 3 W 4 W 3 W 5 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 1 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.10-0.25 <0.10 <0.10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 2230 2566 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 7316 8419 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 8 NW 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18 NW 7 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 17840 7698 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 131688 58933 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 STABILITY F A-B F A-B WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 1 1 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 5 26 5 25 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ045-046-051-052-057-058-311015- NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 52 53 26 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (-2) 93 (-4) 72 97 RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 53 (+9) 97 46 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SW 3 W 3 20FT WND/PM(MPH) W 3 SW 5 SW 3 W 5 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.25-0.50 0.10-0.25 0.10-0.25 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1737 2437 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5700 7994 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 10 NW 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 22 NW 6 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 17370 7311 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 125400 47964 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 STABILITY F A-B F A WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 2 2 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 4 32 4 14 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-311015- RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 24 TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-1) 98 (-2) 74 98 RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-3) 45 (+13) 94 43 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SW 5 SW 4 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 3 W 4 SW 3 W 5 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 <0.10 <0.10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 2452 2596 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 8043 8518 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 NW 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 NW 6 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 17164 7788 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 128688 51108 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 STABILITY F A-B F A-B WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 1 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 6 29 6 19 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ053-054-059>062-311015- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...SOUTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 22 27 18 26 TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-1) 96 (-3) 73 97 RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-2) 49 (+8) 97 46 20FT WND/AM(MPH) W 4 W 4 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 3 W 5 SW 4 W 6 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 2 1 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 0.10-0.25 <0.10 <0.10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 2265 2564 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 7430 8412 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 8 NW 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 6 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 18120 7692 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 126310 50472 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 STABILITY F A-B F A-B WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 1 1 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 7 26 7 28 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ055-056-063>066-072>074-311015- SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION- LAMAR-FORREST- 244 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 ...SOUTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 41 41 28 26 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-2) 93 (-6) 73 97 RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+6) 52 (+10) 99 47 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SW 3 W 4 20FT WND/PM(MPH) E 3 W 4 W 3 NW 5 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 2 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.10-0.25 0.10-0.25 <0.10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1884 2460 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 6180 8070 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 9 NW 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 NW 7 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 16956 7380 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 123600 56490 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 STABILITY F A F A-B WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 4 23 7 34 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$