624 FLUS43 KARX 171602 HWOARX HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1102 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034- 041>044-053>055-061-181100- ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE- FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE- MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON- WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA- 1102 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND WESTERN INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING OUT OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM...BUT THE MOST CONFIDENCE IS IN A TRACK FROM ROUGHLY SOUTH OF THE TWIN CITIES..TO NEAR LA CROSSE...TO MILWAUKEE. THE GREATER THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NEARBY AREAS. WISCONSIN WILL STILL SEE A SEVERE THREAT BUT TO A LESSER DEGREE. SHOULD THE TRACK DEVIATE SOUTH MORE...SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHEAST IOWA. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS....WHICH MAY BE MORE WIDESPREAD DEPENDING ON THE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES CONTINUE FOR AREAS MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF LA CROSSE MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS LOOKS TO DEVELOP SOMEWHERE OVER CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA MONDAY EVENING...THEN MOVE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS ALSO POSE A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY PROVIDES ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...HOWEVER DETAILS ON THIS DAY ARE STILL HARD TO DISCERN. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. REPEATED HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME FLOODING. ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR THIS WEEK...THE SYSTEMS LOOK TO BE MOVING AND NOT FAVORING ONE AREA. HOWEVER...HIGH RAINFALL RATES COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE RISES THROUGH THE WEEK. FINALLY...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 95 TO 100 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN ROUGHLY THE 10 PM TO 3 AM PERIOD...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN. ACTIVATION WOULD OCCUR BASED ON THE WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA... SO WEB RADAR PRODUCTS CAN BE MONITORED FOR TIMING. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... A WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED FOR 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON. $$ RRS/BAUMGARDT/ZT