871 FNUS53 KDTX 101918 FWFDTX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 309 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 .DISCUSSION... FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL FOR THE REST OF TODAY WITH WINDS ONLY IN THE 15-20 MPH RANGE. RH VALUES ARE NEAR 30 AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 90F. MOISTURE INCREASES MONDAY WITH MIN RH VALUES UP NEAR 50 PERCENT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...AND FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SHOULD BE DIMINISHED. A COOLER AND DRY AIRMASS IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-111400- MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT 309 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........46-53 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4630-5130 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1710). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........76-83 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (60). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........32-38 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4430-4930 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (920). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-111400- HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER 309 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (40). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1050-1550 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (350). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (40). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4940-5440 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1140). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-111400- ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE 309 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2910-3410 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (690). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (30). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4210-4710 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1020). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ MR