323 FXUS64 KHGX 030208 AFDHGX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 908 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012 .UPDATE... SEE DISCUSSION. && .DISCUSSION... NO REASON TO CHANGE ONGOING FORECAST PACKAGE THIS EVENING. CIRRUS BLOWOFF FROM CONVECTION WELL TO OUR WEST IS ENTERING WESTERN PORTION OF CWA ALREADY. CONVECTION AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN WRN LA EXPECTED TO STAY OUT OF CWA. OTHERWISE REPEAT OF PAST FEW NIGHTS. 04 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012/ AVIATION... OL' ADAGE IS IF IT ISN'T BROKEN...ANALOGOUS PHILOSOPHY HAS BEEN WORKING THESE LAST FEW DAYS. THE ONLY CAVAEAT THIS MORNING WAS LIFR FOG OVER MORE RURAL TERMINALS SO HIT THESE TERMINALS WITH SIMILAR 10-14Z CONDITIONS. MAJORITY OF TERMINALS WILL TREND SKC THROUGH AROUND 03/09Z...THEN RE-FORM A MVFR OVC-BKN DECK...WITH LOCALIZED SHORT-LIVED IFR CEILINGS. A LATE THURSDAY MORNING MIX- OUT TO A FEW-SCT 5K FT DECK UNDER NEAR 10 KT SOUTHEASTERLIES. 31 PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012/ DISCUSSION... PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERLY WAVE NOT HAVING ANY LUCK CROSS- ING THE STATE LINES THIS AFTN. LOOKS LIKE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS GOING TO HOLD SWAY ACROSS SE TX FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...AND LIKELY ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DISTURBANCES MOVING IN FROM THE W/ SW SHOULD HAVE A TOUGH GO NO MATTER THE TIMING. OUR NEXT BEST CHC OF PCPN NOT UNTIL NEXT TUES AT THE EARLIEST. EXTENDED MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE FLATTENING AS THE NEXT UPPER TROF DIGS/DEEPENS NEAR THE CALI BAJA BY MON. AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN THAT AREA...SHORTWAVE ENERGY BEING EJECTED FROM IT IS PROGGED TO MOVE TOWARD SE TX FROM THE SW AOA TUES. WILL KEEP POPS ON THE LOW SIDE FOR NOW AS MODELS REMAIN A BIT SUSPECT THIS FAR OUT. 41 MARINE... LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH SFC HIGH PRES SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND INTO THE ATLANTIC. 47 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 70 88 71 88 72 / 10 10 10 10 10 HOUSTON (IAH) 70 87 71 87 73 / 10 10 10 10 10 GALVESTON (GLS) 74 83 74 83 75 / 10 10 10 10 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...04