322 
FXUS64 KHGX 170227
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
927 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

.UPDATE...
EVENING FORECAST UPDATE. TODAYS RAINFALL TOTAL WINNER WAS PALACIOS
WITH 5.45 INCHES OF RAIN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ALONG THE COAST HAS MOVED EAST AND OFF THE
COAST. ONLY REMAINING SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA. WATER VAPOR SHOWS LAST SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWINGING
ACROSS THE S PLAINS AND RED RIVER. TROUGH AXIS SHOULD FINALLY PUSH
THROUGH SE TX TUE MORNING WITH PRECIP ENDING. ADJUSTED POPS DOWN
TO JUST 30 PERCENT AS LATEST RADAR SHOWS LIGHT SHOWERS AT BEST AND
ELEVATED. MAY NOT SEE MUCH PRECIP HIT THE GROUND. THERE ARE SOME
HIGHER REFLECTIVITIES W/SW OF COLORADO COUNTY SO ISO THUNDER
CANNOT BE RULED OUT. MIN TEMPS WERE ALSO ADJUSTED DOWN A DEGREE OR
TWO ALONG THE COAST WHERE RAIN COOLED AIR REMAINS. CLOUD COVER
SHOULD KEEP TEMPS FROM DROPPING TOO MUCH.

IN THE EXTENDED...BECOMING MORE CONCERNED WITH THE GFS SWINGING A
FAIRLY POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH INTO TX FRI NIGHT. THIS MAY BE THE
NEXT SHOT OF RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THE ECMWF AND
CANADIAN DISAGREE. STILL SOME TIME TO WAIT AND SEE.

39

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      59  81  58  82  58 /  30  20  10  10  10 
HOUSTON (IAH)              62  80  60  82  59 /  30  30  10  10  10 
GALVESTON (GLS)            66  78  66  79  66 /  30  30  10  10  10 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR 
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA 
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO 
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...39
AVIATION/MARINE...43