282 FLUS44 KSHV 011050 HWOSHV HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 450 AM CST WED FEB 1 2012 ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-011800- SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE- COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN- UNION LA-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS- CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON- 450 AM CST WED FEB 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD CONTAIN HAIL... WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA TODAY. THIS WILL INCLUDE SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS WOULD FIRE ALONG A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION LATE TODAY AND AN ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. LARGE HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MIDDLE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE LATE TONIGHT...PATCHY DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO FORM ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE ENTIRE FOUR STATE REGION. THIS FOG COULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WOULD LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... A MORE VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME CUTOFF ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. DISTURBANCES MOVING INTO OUR REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL COMBINE WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. ITS NOT CLEAR AT THIS TIME AS TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CAREFULLY AS THE EVENT NEARS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE MIDDLE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAIL WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE EXPECTED CONVECTION WOULD LIKELY NOT WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AND THE NECESSITY OF ACTIVATING SPOTTERS...BUT THIS SCENARIO WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. $$ LAZ010>014-017>022-TXZ149>153-165>167-011800- DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA- NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA- NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX- 450 AM CST WED FEB 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LUFKIN TO NEAR MONROE LOUISIANA. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE AT THIS TIME. WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE LATE TONIGHT...PATCHY DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO FORM ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE ENTIRE FOUR STATE REGION. THIS FOG COULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WOULD LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... A MORE VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME CUTOFF ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. DISTURBANCES MOVING INTO OUR REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL COMBINE WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. ITS NOT CLEAR AT THIS TIME AS TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CAREFULLY AS THE EVENT NEARS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. $$ 13