000 
FXUS64 KBMX 250453
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1153 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA THE
LAST FEW HOURS.  WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL
KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY OVERNIGHT AS A SHOWER OR STORM
COULD DEVELOP ANYWHERE AT ANYTIME.  IN FACT THE LOCAL WRF DOES SHOW
DEVELOPMENT BY 09Z. WILL INCLUDE SOME PATCHY FOG AT ALL LOCATIONS
AS WINDS HAVE DROPPED OFF.  EXPECT LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP QUICKLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE FORECAST LOOKS FINE.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO WORK NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA 
TONIGHT...INCLUDING NEW DEVELOPMENT NEAR MGM/TOI. WILL BE INCLUDING 
VCSH FOR SEVERAL SITES IN PREVAILING. EXPECT LOW CLOUDS TO SPREAD 
INTO THE AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WITH DIMINISHING WINDS 
AND MOIST GROUND CONDITIONS...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AND WILL 
INCLUDE MVFR CEILINGS AND VIS AT ALL SITES THROUGH MID MORNING. 
MODELS SUPPORT ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MONDAY...WITH THE 
POSSIBILITY OF TS AT ALL SITES.

14

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

KSL