000 FNUS54 KLZK 131021 FWFLZK FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 521 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009 .DISCUSSION... THE STALLED FRONT OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA WILL LIFT NORTHWARD TODAY AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ELEVATED AND A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN AFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY...THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO ARKANSAS AND BRING THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY...THE FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO LIFT NORTH AND THE CHANCES OF RAIN LOWER OVER THE STATE. SATURDAY...THE NEXT COLD FRONT STARTS TO SAG SOUTHEAST FROM THE EASTERN PLAINS...AND THE CHANCE OF RAIN AGAIN COMES UP. THEN THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY. NOT UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH OUT OF ARKANSAS LATER SUNDAY TO MONDAY... WILL THE CHANCE OF RAIN SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE OR END FOR THE STATE. ARZ003>007-012>016-023-024-140330- BAXTER-BOONE-CLEBURNE-FULTON-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-MARION-NEWTON- SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN- 521 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 60 50 PRECIP TYPE TSTRMS TSTRMS TSTRMS TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+13) 60 (+2) 78 MX/MN RH% (24H TREND) 55 (+2) 95 (-5) 54 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 11 G23 W 5 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 16 G24 S 10 G21 SW 8 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.44 0.19 PRECIP DURATION 1 4 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3882 3420 CATEGORY DAY 5 3 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 15 SW 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 33 SW 14 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 17745 6252 DISPERSION INDEX 53 25 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 STABILITY CLASS D D D MIX HGT 500 (F) 73 66 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH. $$ ARZ021-022-030>032-038-140330- CONWAY-FAULKNER-JOHNSON-LOGAN-POPE-YELL- 521 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 40 PRECIP TYPE TSTRMS TSTRMS TSTRMS TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+16) 62 (+2) 80 MX/MN RH% (24H TREND) 55 (-3) 93 (-7) 55 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 9 G22 SW 6 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 14 G24 S 9 G20 SW 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.32 0.16 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4096 3860 CATEGORY DAY 5 4 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 14 SW 8 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 31 SW 19 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 17472 9416 DISPERSION INDEX 49 38 HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 STABILITY CLASS D D D MIX HGT 500 (F) 73 68 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. $$ ARZ025-033-034-044>047-140330- JACKSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-WHITE-WOODRUFF- 521 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 40 PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTRMS TSTRMS TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+14) 65 (+5) 83 MX/MN RH% (24H TREND) 54 (0) 93 (-7) 54 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 10 G22 SW 7 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 14 G24 S 10 G21 S 8 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.19 0.13 PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3999 3900 CATEGORY DAY 4 4 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 12 SW 8 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 27 SW 18 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 14628 9512 DISPERSION INDEX 43 29 HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 STABILITY CLASS D D D MIX HGT 500 (F) 75 71 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH. $$ ARZ037-039>043-052-140330- GARLAND-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-SALINE-SCOTT- 521 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 30 PRECIP TYPE TSTRMS TSTRMS TSTRMS TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+17) 64 (+4) 82 MX/MN RH% (24H TREND) 55 (-6) 93 (-7) 56 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 10 G22 S 7 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 14 G23 S 8 G18 S 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.15 0.11 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4459 4356 CATEGORY DAY 5 4 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 SW 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 30 SW 19 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 17667 11952 DISPERSION INDEX 50 41 HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 STABILITY CLASS D D D MIX HGT 500 (F) 75 70 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. $$ ARZ053>057-062>069-140330- ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-GRANT- HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-OUACHITA- 521 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 30 PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTRMS TSTRMS TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (+17) 66 (+5) 84 MX/MN RH% (24H TREND) 53 (-10) 93 (-7) 55 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 9 G20 S 6 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 13 G22 S 9 G20 S 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.05 0.07 PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4329 4229 CATEGORY DAY 4 4 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 S 7 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 25 S 16 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 14509 9023 DISPERSION INDEX 40 26 HAINES INDEX 3 4 4 STABILITY CLASS D C C MIX HGT 500 (F) 76 73 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH. $$ FOR THE LATEST TEXT AND GRAPHICAL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST...PLEASE VISIT THE FIRE WEATHER PORTION OF OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK/HTML/FOREST2.HTM. 59