000 FNUS53 KGRR 041834 FWFGRR FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 234 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 ...DRY WEATHER INTO TUESDAY THEN WET THE REST OF THE WEEK... .DISCUSSION...THE DEPARTING HIGH WILL PROVIDE ONE MORE DAY OF DRY WEATHER. A SERIES OF STORMS FROM THE PACIFIC OCEAN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THE WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MIZ037>039-043>045-050815- MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART... FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS 234 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...6600-7100 FT AGL. MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...7100-7600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-9900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1200-1700 FT AGL. MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5400-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7500-8000 FT AGL INLAND. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...1900-2200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.50 IN. $$ MIZ040-046-050815- CLARE-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT 234 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500-9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...1700-2000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.26 IN. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-050815- MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN 234 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...6400-6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 8600-9100 FT AGL INLAND. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2100-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...6100-6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.48 IN. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-050815- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA... ST. JOHNS 234 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8700-9200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1600 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.38 IN. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-050815- BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING... KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 234 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8900-9400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1800 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.27 IN. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. $$