000 FXUS63 KUNR 132056 AFDUNR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 255 PM MDT FRI JUN 13 2008 .DISCUSSION...CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST ONTARIO. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...BUT ARE BEGINNING TO SLOWLY DECREASE. WILL LET WIND ADVISORY GO AT 21Z. OTHERWISE...SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...WITH A SHOWER OR TWO STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE HILLS THIS AFTERNOON. ACTIVITY SHOULD BE DIURNAL IN NATURE AND DISSIPATE QUICKLY BY EARLY THIS EVENING. TEMPS CURRENTLY IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S AT MOST LOCATIONS. WARM AND DRY WX ON TAP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS UPPER LOW EXITS THE REGION AND ZONAL FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS. TEMPS WILL FINALLY SOAR ABOVE AVERAGE ON SATURDAY AND REMAIN WARM ON SUNDAY. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE PLAINS...WITH 70S IN THE HILLS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...MAINLY FROM THE BLACK HILLS AREA NORTHWARD. SUNDAY WILL BE A BIT COOLER...BUT SEASONABLY WARM WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 70S. AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE BLACK HILLS AS WELL. EXTENDED...FLAT UPPER RIDGE REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...WITH SERIES OF SHORTWAVES CROSSING THE AREA. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DUE TO RECENT RAINS...COMBINED WITH LACK OF WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE. && .AVIATION...FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT. && .UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...NONE. WY...NONE. && $$