000 
FXUS64 KMRX 110920 CCA
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
429 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...COLD FRONT STILL TO OUR 
WEST...BUT MAIN BATCH OF PRECIP HAS WEAKENED AND IS PULLING EAST OUT 
OF THE AREA. STILL THE POSSIBILITY OF REDEVELOPMENT...BUT WILL 
UNDERCUT MAV POPS A BIT. WILL ALSO HAVE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS 
AFTERNOON AND WIND ADVISORY FOR MOUNTAINS INTO TONIGHT SOUTH AND 
THROUGH MONDAY NORTH AND CENTRAL FOR THE EXPECTED GUSTY WINDS. WITH 
UPPER LOW NEARBY EXPECT SOME SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO 
MONDAY...ESPECIALLY NORTH. MAV TEMPS LOOK REASONABLE.  

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...STILL QUITE A BIT OF 
UNCERTAINTY IN THE LONGER TERM...BUT FOR NOW WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW 
00Z GFS SOLUTION...WITH DRY WEATHER TUESDAY...THEN UNSETTLED WEATHER 
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. WILL GO 
DRY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. WILL NOT ARGUE MUCH WITH GFS MOS 
TEMPS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  74  49  72  48  82 /  50  20  10   0   0 
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  69  48  67  46  77 /  60  40  10   0   0 
OAK RIDGE, TN  68  47  68  45  79 /  60  40  10   0   0 
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN  68  47  61  44  74 /  80  70  20  10   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CHEROKEE...CLAY.

TN...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY 
     MOUNTAINS...JOHNSON...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST 
     CARTER...SOUTHEAST GREENE...UNICOI.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/ TODAY TO 8 PM EDT 
     /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ANDERSON...
     BLEDSOE...BRADLEY...CAMPBELL...CLAIBORNE...GRAINGER...
     HAMBLEN...HAMILTON...HANCOCK...HAWKINS...JEFFERSON...KNOX...
     LOUDON...MARION...MCMINN...MEIGS...MORGAN...NW BLOUNT...
     NORTH SEVIER...NORTHWEST CARTER...NORTHWEST COCKE...
     NORTHWEST GREENE...NORTHWEST MONROE...RHEA...ROANE...SCOTT 
     TN...SEQUATCHIE...SULLIVAN...UNION...WASHINGTON TN...WEST 
     POLK.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: EAST POLK...SOUTHEAST MONROE.

VA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT MONDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LEE...RUSSELL...SCOTT...WASHINGTON...WISE.

&&

$$

LDW