000 
FXUS64 KLZK 081736
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1236 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2008

AVIATION... 
UPPER LOW OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WRAP AROUND STRATUS/STRATOCU ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW WILL REMAIN AROUND THROUGH THE DAY WITH MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS
PREVAILING. AFTER BRIEF CLEARING LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY EVENING...NEXT UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH LATE
IN THE PERIOD WITH LOW CEILINGS AND SOME PRECIP FOR KHRO AND KBPK.
REMAINDER OF THE TERMINALS WILL SEE SOME STRATUS DEVELOP LATE IN
THE PERIOD. 
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1114 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2008/ 

UPDATE...
UPDATING THE FORECAST TO LOWER POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EAST. 
KLZK RADAR SHOWS LIGHT RAIN MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST 
ARKANSAS. CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SPIN AROUND THE UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS 
AS WELL. THE LOW WILL PULL OUT TO THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND 
BRING THE LIGHT RAIN TO AN END. WILL DISSIPATE THE POPS QUICKLY 
THIS AFTERNOON. ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT 
CONDITIONS. KEPT MAX TEMPS AS IS SINCE WE SHOULD SEE CLOUDS BREAKING 
UP THIS AFTERNOON AND MORE SUN. 

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2008/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND 
MOVE AWAY FROM THE STATE. WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE THE MAIN FEATURE 
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THEN...ANOTHER TROF WILL DROP OUT OF THE 
ROCKIES TOWARD ARKANSAS. IT WILL MOVE FAST ENOUGH TO BE EAST OF THE 
AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION THIS MORNING IS REFUSING TO 
DISSIPATE...SO KEPT POPS FOR TODAY...ALTHOUGH WITH A DECREASING 
TREND. DRY WEATHER FOR TONIGHT...THEN ANOTHER WEAK LOW AT THE 
SURFACE WILL BRING BRIEF RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTH FRIDAY 
MORNING AND END BY THE AFTERNOON. BREAK IN THE PRECIP WILL CONTINUE 
UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING WHEN RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A 
LINGERING BOUNDARY RETURNING FROM THE SOUTH AS A WARM FRONT 
SATURDAY. THEN...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 
THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH QUICK DRYING 
EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY ON IN THE 
WEEK. FRONT THAT WILL BE STALLED OUT WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION 
WILL START TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH...AS H5 RIDGING AMPLIFIES IN 
THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BECOME POSSIBLE ON 
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND 
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...AND A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM DEVELOPS TO THE 
WEST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     76  58  78  58 /  50  10  20  10 
CAMDEN AR         81  63  87  66 /  10  10  10  10 
HARRISON AR       71  57  74  56 /  40  10  20  10 
HOT SPRINGS AR    78  61  85  62 /  20  10  10  10 
LITTLE ROCK   AR  79  63  83  63 /  30  10  10  10 
MONTICELLO AR     82  64  88  68 /  20  10  10  10 
MOUNT IDA AR      78  61  86  63 /  20  10  10  10 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  72  56  74  56 /  50  10  30  10 
NEWPORT AR        76  59  78  59 /  50  10  20  10 
PINE BLUFF AR     80  65  86  66 /  30  10  10  10 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   76  60  82  60 /  30  10  20  10 
SEARCY AR         77  61  81  60 /  40  10  20  10 
STUTTGART AR      79  62  82  64 /  40  10  10  10 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56 / LONG TERM...51
AVIATION...51