000 FXUS64 KFWD 221124 AAA AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 524 AM CST SAT DEC 22 2007 .AVIATION... 524 AM COLD FRONT AT 11Z LOCATED JUST NORTH OF KSPS. PREFRONTAL TROF NOW EAST OF KRPH. HAVE INDICATED WIND SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST BY 14Z AND FROPA BY 17Z IN METROPLEX...AN HOUR LATER AT KACT. WINDS WILL QUICKLY PICK UP AFTER FROPA TO BECOME NORTHWEST 25G35KT...BUT WILL MODERATE QUICKLY AS GRADIENT WEAKENS AFTER SUNSET. SFC HIGH WILL PASS OVER NORTH TX NEAR SUNRISE AND WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AGAIN BY MID DAY SUNDAY. MORNING STRATUS ALREADY SHUNTING EAST OF METROPLEX AND KACT SO HAVE LEFT OUT MVFR CIGS. HIGHER STRATUS EXPECTED WITH AND BEHIND THE FRONT...THROUGH ABOUT SUNDOWN...BUT IT WILL REMAIN VFR. 84 && .DISCUSSION... 438 AM THE 10Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE COLD FRONT EXTENDED SOUTHEAST OF AN OKLAHOMA CITY TO LUBBOCK LINE. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO NEAR A BONHAM...TO MERIDIAN...TO LAMPASAS LINE BY 18Z...AND THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE AT SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. THUS WE WILL HAVE A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR TODAY THROUGH EARLY EVENING. HAVE KEPT LOW POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES WITH ONLY VERY LOW QPFS. AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST...EVEN THESE LOW CHANCES OF RAIN WILL END. MOST OF NORTH TEXAS WILL SEE A FREEZE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM IN THE 50S AREAWIDE SUNDAY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED...SO HAVE ONLY KEPT LOW POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD/HALF FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. WITH A RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN REMAINING IN PLACE...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL SWEEP ACROSS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTIAL THICKNESS VALUES INDICATE THAT THE WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION FROM THE UPPER LOW THAT MOVES ACROSS OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY MORNING COULD BE IN THE FORM OF A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX NEAR THE RED RIVER. HAVE JUST LEFT THE PRECIPITATION AS RAIN IN THE FORECAST AS IT LOOKS SO BORDERLINE AT THIS POINT. #58 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 60 30 54 32 55 / 10 10 0 10 10 WACO, TX 65 32 57 32 56 / 10 10 0 10 10 PARIS, TX 61 25 52 26 53 / 40 10 0 10 10 DENTON, TX 56 28 54 28 53 / 20 10 0 10 10 MCKINNEY, TX 57 30 54 26 52 / 20 10 0 10 10 DALLAS, TX 61 31 54 33 55 / 10 10 0 10 10 TERRELL, TX 66 30 55 30 54 / 20 10 0 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 65 31 56 30 56 / 20 10 0 10 10 TEMPLE, TX 64 29 58 32 56 / 10 10 0 10 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175. && $$ 58/58/84