000 
FXUS62 KMLB 051354
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
954 AM EDT FRI OCT 5 2007


.DISCUSSION...

...DETERIORATING BEACH AND BOATING CONDITIONS ON TAP THROUGH THIS 
WEEKEND AS INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS BUILD SEAS AND SURF...

...INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND SQUALLS ALSO EXPECTED...

LOCAL NASA WIND PROFILERS SHOWING STEADY EAST FLOW 15-20KT THROUGH 
LOWER/MID LEVELS. MOISTURE REMAINS DEEP AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE 
MARCHING WEST FROM THE COASTAL WATERS AND REACHING THROUGH THE 
INTERIOR SECTIONS THIS MORNING. BREEZY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING NEAR 
THE COAST WITH PGRAD TIGHTENING A LITTLE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO 
THE NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR THE BAHAMAS. ANY BREAKS OF 
SUNSHINE WILL BE BRIEF WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILING. CANT 
RULE OUT ISOLATED THUNDER BUT MAINLY BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY SQUALLY 
TYPE SHOWERS WITH WINDS GUSTING 25-30 MPH. MAX TEMPS SHOULD TOP OUT 
IN THE UPPER 80S INLAND...WITH SOME MID 80S NEAR THE COAST. CURRENT 
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH LIKELY/NMRS POPS DEVELOPING FOR THE 
REST OF TODAY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS NEAR THE EAST COAST. WILL MAKE A 
FEW TWEAKS TO HAZARDS IN LATE MORNING HWO UPDATE...BUT OVERALL 
FORECAST PACKAGE IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.AVIATION...CONTINUED PERIODS OF REDUCTIONS WITH INCREASING COVERAGE 
OF SHRA MOVING IN FROM ATLANTIC REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. EXPECT 
AREAS MVFR/LCL IFR INVOF SHRA...ESP NEAR THE EAST COAST. 

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL 
FLORIDA WATERS. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD INTO TONIGHT WITH 
WINDS 15-20KT NEAR THE COAST AND AROUND 20 KNOTS FURTHER OFFSHORE.
ROUGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL MAKE ENTERING THE WATER DANGEROUS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS 
     EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA 
     BEACH OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR WATERS 
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...GLITTO
LONG TERM....BRAGAW