000 
FXUS64 KLZK 172004
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
303 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
RAIN ON THE WAY...WITH SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING
THE WESTERN BORDER FROM OKLAHOMA AS OF 230 PM. PRECIPITATION IN
ASSOCIATION WITH STORM SYSTEM TRACKING ALONG THE RED RIVER. SYSTEM
WILL MOSTLY REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE...WITH ANY SEVERE
WEATHER MAINLY CONFINED TO THE GULF COAST. EVEN SO...WILL BE
WIDESPREAD RAIN NORTH OF THE SYSTEM.

IN GENERAL...HAVE QUARTER TO HALF INCH AMOUNTS IN THE FORECAST IN
THE NORTHERN COUNTIES...WITH HALF TO THREE QUARTER INCH AMOUNTS
FARTHER SOUTH. 

SYSTEM WILL EXIT TO THE EAST ON WEDNESDAY...WITH PERHAPS A FEW
LEFTOVER SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS WILL
DECREASE...WITH DRY WEATHER IN THE AFTERNOON.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL HOLD FOR THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT/SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. (46)
&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES IN THE LONG TERM. RIDGE ALOFT WILL 
BEGIN THE LONG TERM...WITH WEAK SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE REGION 
SUNDAY. LEFT POPS OUT OF FORECAST SUNDAY...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN 
OVER THE REGION. THIS LEFTOVER MOISTURE WILL COME INTO PLAY WHEN 
SYSTEM ARRIVES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HAVE LEFT CHANCE POPS IN FOR 
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT WILL PROBABLY HAVE TO RAISE POPS IN LATER 
FORECASTS. (58)
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     51  69  46  72 / 100  30   0   0 
CAMDEN AR         54  72  50  77 / 100  30   0   0 
HARRISON AR       48  69  44  70 / 100  20   0   0 
HOT SPRINGS AR    53  71  50  76 / 100  20   0   0 
LITTLE ROCK   AR  53  71  50  76 / 100  30   0   0 
MONTICELLO AR     55  72  50  77 / 100  30   0   0 
MOUNT IDA AR      53  72  48  75 / 100  20   0   0 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  48  69  43  70 / 100  20   0   0 
NEWPORT AR        52  69  46  73 / 100  30   0   0 
PINE BLUFF AR     54  72  51  76 / 100  30   0   0 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   51  70  48  74 / 100  20   0   0 
SEARCY AR         53  70  48  75 / 100  30   0   0 
STUTTGART AR      54  71  50  76 / 100  30   0   0 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...58