000 
FXUS63 KLBF 270832
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
332 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FOCUS COVERS THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THEN
COLD FRONT PASSAGE AND ASSOCIATED POPS TONIGHT.

MAIN SURFACE HIGH ACROSS THE MISS RIVER VALLEY AND A SURFACE LOW
MOVING IN BEHIND...ATTM LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN WITH A
TRAILING FRONT TO THE E/SE. RETURN SOUTH FLOW FROM HIGH WILL PUSH
WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE AREA HAS
BEEN DRY FOR SEVERAL WEEKS NOW...WILL GO WITH 2M TEMPS WHICH LOCAL
STUDIES SHOW TO BE FAIRLY ACCURATE WITH INTENSE HEAT. THIS WILL
PLACE LBF 2 DEGREES SHORT OF THE RECORD 93 DEGREES. TO THE NORTH
SLIGHTLY COOLER AS FRONT ARRIVES A LITTLE SOONER.

COLUMN QUITE DRY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH CAP FIRM WITH NO POPS
NEEDED/EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
FRONT...THE COLD POOL WITH CREATE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

FINAL CONCERN WILL FOLLOW A COOL DAY ON WEDNESDAY AS COOL HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO FILTER ACROSS THE REGION. GUIDANCE LOWS FOR
THURSDAY MORNING NEARING THE FREEZING MARK AND WILL CONTINUE TO
MENTION FROST...HOWEVER WILL HAVE TO TAKE A GOOD LOOK AT THIS
TOMORROW AS CLEAR SKIES AND DRY SURFACE WILL LEAD TO GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING AND POSSIBLY CREATING THE NEED FOR THE FIRST COLD TEMPERATURE
HEADLINES.

COLD SPELL LOOKS SHORT LIVES AS LONG RANGE MODELS RETURN A RIDGE TO
THE AREA AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY WEEKS END. HOWEVER MOISTURE
APPEARS LIMITED AND WILL FOLLOWING ONGOING DRY FORECAST.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

MASEK