000 FNUS55 KPSR 011235 FWFPSR FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 535 AM MST THU SEP 1 2005 .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE EAST OF ARIZONA THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE RESULTING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA INTO THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND. THIS INCREASED MOISTURE WILL GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THROUGH LABOR DAY. SOME DRYING IS POSSIBLE LATER ON NEXT WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS TO THE WEST AND BEGINS TO SCOUR OUT THE MOISTURE. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROF NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL KEEP A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA. && ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS... AZZ132-020245- WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX AREA/ SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/ NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY- PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 535 AM MST THU SEP 1 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-109. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................13-19 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......14800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT WEST PORTION...10 PERCENT EAST PORTION. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-80. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................39-56 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT WEST PORTION...10 PERCENT EAST PORTION. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-108. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................15-20 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......14800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......EAST 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 68-80. HIGHS 100-106. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 67-79. HIGHS 100-106. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67-78. HIGHS 100-106. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67-78. HIGHS 100-106. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67-78. HIGHS 100-106. $$ AZZ133-020245- SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/ CAZ- 535 AM MST THU SEP 1 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-103. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.................56-76. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................43-74 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-103. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55-76. HIGHS 87-100. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54-75. HIGHS 87-100. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54-74. HIGHS 87-100. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 54-74. HIGHS 87-100. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 54-74. HIGHS 87-100. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-020245- YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ- LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- 535 AM PDT THU SEP 1 2005 /535 AM MST THU SEP 1 2005/ .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................106-110. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................12-20 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........12500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................75-82. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................33-47 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................105-109. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT. MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........14200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 10 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-82. HIGHS 104-108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-81. HIGHS 104-108. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 104-108. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 104-108. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 104-108. $$ CAZ230-020245- JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK- 535 AM PDT THU SEP 1 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-101. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-77. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................31-46 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-101. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................14-19 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-77. HIGHS 93-98. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-77. HIGHS 93-98. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-76. HIGHS 93-98. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-76. HIGHS 93-98. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 60-76. HIGHS 93-98. $$ CAZ232-020245- IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY- 535 AM PDT THU SEP 1 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-109. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-79. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................30-40 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................100-107. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-79. HIGHS 98-106. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71-79. HIGHS 98-106. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71-78. HIGHS 98-106. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71-78. HIGHS 98-106. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 71-78. HIGHS 98-106. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 8TH THROUGH SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 10TH...DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.