000 FNUS55 KPSR 231217 FWFPSR FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 517 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2005 .DISCUSSION... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST...AND DRAW ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA FROM MEXICO. THIS WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE MOST NUMEROUS EXPECTED OVER SOUTH- CENTRAL ARIZONA TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE REGION LATER IN THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE QUITE AS HOT THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. && ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS... AZZ132-232230- WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX AREA/ SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/ NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY- PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 517 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING... BECOMING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................100-107. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................22-30 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......14300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-83. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................56-85 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT WEST PORTION...30 PERCENT EAST PORTION. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................99-105. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................23-31 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR. MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......13200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......CALM. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT WEST PORTION...20 PERCENT EAST PORTION. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 73-83. HIGHS 101-106. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 74-84. HIGHS 102-108. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 74-84. HIGHS 102-108. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 73-83. HIGHS 101-107. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-83. HIGHS 100-106. $$ AZZ133-232230- SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/ CAZ- 517 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-101. 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................24-33 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.............................3. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.................59-77. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................60-90 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................84-100. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY....................26-33 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.............................2. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56-75. HIGHS 86-102. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 57-75. HIGHS 87-103. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 57-75. HIGHS 87-103. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56-75. HIGHS 86-102. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56-74. HIGHS 85-100. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-232230- YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ- LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- 517 AM PDT TUE AUG 23 2005 /517 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2005/ .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.................104-108. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................24-30 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................15 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.............................2. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........13300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHEAST 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.................76-82. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................65-79 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-105. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................26-32 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........11100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHEAST 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-83. HIGHS 102-106. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-83. HIGHS 105-109. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-83. HIGHS 105-109. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-83. HIGHS 104-108. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-82. HIGHS 103-107. $$ CAZ230-232230- JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK- 517 AM PDT TUE AUG 23 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-98. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................17-22 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................57-74. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................46-80 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................17 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-96. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................19-24 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-75. HIGHS 91-97. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-75. HIGHS 93-99. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-75. HIGHS 93-99. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-75. HIGHS 92-98. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-74. HIGHS 91-97. $$ CAZ232-232230- IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY- 517 AM PDT TUE AUG 23 2005 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................98-107. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................19-30 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................15 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.............................2. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-78. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................50-82 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................96-104. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY....................20-31 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-80. HIGHS 97-105. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 99-107. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 99-107. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-80. HIGHS 98-106. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-79. HIGHS 97-105. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...TUESDAY AUGUST 30TH THROUGH THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 1ST...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.