000 FXUS64 KBMX 110741 AFDBMX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 235 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2005 .SHORT TERM...MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR HAS SPREAD INTO THE NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE AREA WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. PESKY WEAK UPPER LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THEN SHIFTS NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS ON FRIDAY. WILL FORECAST SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY WITH ISOLATED WORDING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. HIGHEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOST SECTIONS THIS EVENING (ISOLATED WORDING NORTHWEST) WILL END AS WE LOOSE THE HEATING OF THE DAY. WITH THE UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY WILL GO WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALL SECTIONS WITH THE HIGHEST POPS EAST AND SOUTHEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S AREA-WIDE DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH SUN DEVELOPS AS WELL AS HOW QUICKLY STORMS DEVELOP. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WILL TREND TOWARDS A SLIGHTLY DRIER FORECAST WITH MAINLY CHANCE WORDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS AND SCATTERED WORDING ACROSS THE SOUTH. WILL ALSO WORD MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. HIGHEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS WHERE NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES PERSIST AND BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE REMAINS. GIVEN THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCURRED ON WEDNESDAY...EXPECT FOG AND LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP TOWARDS DAYBREAK AND CONTINUE FOR A PORTION OF THE MORNING. .LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)... WET SUMMER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK WITH NO CHANGE IS SIGHT. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S AND EVENING TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S WITH SOME UPPER 60S IN THE USUAL COOL SPOTS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... GADSDEN 90 70 90 70 / 30 30 40 20 ANNISTON 90 71 90 71 / 40 30 50 20 BIRMINGHAM 91 71 91 71 / 40 30 50 20 TUSCALOOSA 92 73 93 73 / 40 30 40 20 CALERA 91 72 91 72 / 40 30 50 20 AUBURN 90 73 90 73 / 60 30 50 20 MONTGOMERY 91 72 90 72 / 60 30 50 20 TROY 91 72 90 72 / 60 30 50 20 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. && $$ 50/10