000 FNUS55 KPSR 112241 FWFPSR FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 340 PM MST WED MAY 11 2005 ...DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND... .DISCUSSION... A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER UTAH WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE RATHER LIGHT AND FOLLOW MAINLY DIURNAL TRENDS. DRY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES...WITH ONLY MODERATE RECOVERY EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH THE WARMEST DESERT LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO HIT 100 DEGREES BY SUNDAY OR MONDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IS FORECAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && AZZ132-121300- WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX AREA/ SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/ NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY- PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 340 PM MST WED MAY 11 2005 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................45-55. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................31-52 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-92. 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD. MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTH 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-58. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY....................30-50 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-97. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR. MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTH 5 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 93-100. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 95-102. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-64. HIGHS 96-103. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 96-103. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 96-103. $$ AZZ133-121300- SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/ CAZ- 340 PM MST WED MAY 11 2005 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................32-51. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................31-58 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................72-84. 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................35-54. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY....................29-54 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................77-89. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38-57. HIGHS 80-92. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-59. HIGHS 82-94. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-60. HIGHS 83-95. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42-61. HIGHS 83-95. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42-61. HIGHS 83-95. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-121300- YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ- LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- 340 PM MST WED MAY 11 2005 /340 PM PDT WED MAY 11 2005/ .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-60. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................35-44 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-93. 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR. MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........9500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 4 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................57-63. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY....................36-44 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-98. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR. MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHEAST 4 KNOTS. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-66. HIGHS 96-100. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-68. HIGHS 98-102. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-69. HIGHS 98-102. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-70. HIGHS 98-102. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-70. HIGHS 98-102. $$ CAZ230-121300- JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK- 340 PM PDT WED MAY 11 2005 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................40-53. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................32-46 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................74-84. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-56. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY....................31-47 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-89. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-59. HIGHS 82-92. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-61. HIGHS 82-92. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-62. HIGHS 82-92. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-63. HIGHS 82-92. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-63. HIGHS 82-92. $$ CAZ232-121300- IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY- 340 PM PDT WED MAY 11 2005 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................51-58. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY....................30-57 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-92. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-61. 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY....................29-55 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-97. 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.............................1. HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PCT. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-64. HIGHS 93-99. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-66. HIGHS 93-100. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-67. HIGHS 93-100. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-68. HIGHS 93-100. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-68. HIGHS 93-100. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...THURSDAY MAY 19TH THROUGH SATURDAY MAY 21ST... DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.