000 FNUS53 KGRR 170730 FWFGRR FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 330 AM EDT SUN APR 17 2005 ...DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST FOR ANOTHER DAY OR TWO... .LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING WILL NOT DO MUCH TO DIMINISH THE FIRE DANGER TODAY AND MONDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER TODAY THAN SUNDAY BUT WARM DRY CONDITIONS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY AS DRY AIR FROM CANADA ADVECTS INTO LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ037-171520- MASON...LAKE...OSCEOLA...OCEANA...NEWAYGO...AND MECOSTA COUNTIES... INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN THREE QUARTERS OF MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7100-7600 FT AGL INLAND. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (300). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. INLAND 7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (300). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 35-40 PERCENT INLAND. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3 PERCENT DRIER INLAND. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1800). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ040-171520- CLARE AND ISABELLA COUNTIES .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (500). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (400). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1900). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ050-171520- MUSKEGON...OTTAWA...ALLEGAN...AND VAN BUREN COUNTIES .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3100-3600 FT AGL. INLAND 3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1100). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1600-2100 FT AGL. INLAND 5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (600). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. INLAND 3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1600). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ051-171520- MONTCALM...GRATIOT...KENT...IONIA...AND CLINTON COUNTIES .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1100). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (700). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (2000). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ065-171520- BARRY...EATON...INGHAM...KALAMAZOO...CALHOUN AND JACKSON COUNTIES .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1300). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (900). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (1900). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60. $$