000 
AGUS71 KTAR 081647
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1124 AM EST TUE MAR 08 2005

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND THIS MORNING.  LOW PRESSURE ON THE FRONT IS RAPIDLY
DEEPENING NEAR THE DELMARVA THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO BOMB
OUT AS IT HEADS NORTHEAST TO A POSITION NEAR NEW BRUNSWICK/NOVA
SCOTIA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.  QPF OF 1 TO 2 INCHES (MELTED) IS
EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BASINS.  THE NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND BASINS ARE EXPECTING MOSTLY SNOW FROM THIS EVENT, WHILE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BASINS EXPERIENCE MOSTLY RAIN WITH A
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE ALL SNOW AREAS OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ARE EXPECTED MORE THAN A FOOT OF SNOW.
:
:
PRECIPITATION SUMMARY:
:
SNOW FELL ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING AT 7:00 AM THIS TUESDAY
MORNING.  WATER EQUIVALENTS IN THESE AREAS WERE GENERALLY BETWEEN
0.25 AND 0.50 INCHES.
:
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, 1 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. MOSTLY SNOW IN NORTHERN NEW YORK/NEW
ENGLAND BASINS WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OR SNOW IN NORTHERN MAINE BASINS,
WHILE MOSTLY RAIN FALLS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BEFORE THE
TRANSITION TO SNOW.
:
HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS:
:
RIVER RISES ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NERFC
BASIN.  RAINFALL AND SNOW MELT WILL CAUSE RISES BETWEEN 1 AND 3
FEET IN EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
BASINS WHERE MOSTLY RAIN OCCURS.
:
RIVERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK ARE EITHER NEAR CREST OR HAVE
CRESTED.
:
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, SNOW MELT
RUNOFF WILL DIMINISH AND RIVERS WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE BY LATER
WEDNESDAY ACROSS MANY EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BASINS.
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR THE NORTHEAST -- 3 HOUR GUIDANCE BY STATE
AND COUNTIES WITH LOWEST GUIDANCE VALUES:
NEW YORK       1.1 -  2.9 INCH NRN ERIE
VERMONT        1.4 -  2.9 INCH WASHINGTON       BENNINGTON
NEW HAMPSHIRE  2.4 -  3.2 INCH SRN COOS         NRN GRAFTON
.                              SRN CARROLL      ERN HILLSBOROUGH
.                              W-CTR HILLSBOROU
MAINE          2.2 -  3.5 INCH NRN PENOBSCOT    SERN AROOSTOOK
CONNECTICUT    2.0 -  2.8 INCH SRN FAIRFIELD    SRN NEW HAVEN
MASSACHUSETTS  1.4 -  3.5 INCH NRN BERKSHIRE
RHODE ISLAND   2.1 -  2.6 INCH NWRN PROVIDENCE

$$
:
NERFC/CAPONE