000 
FNUS75 KBOU 111618
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER RIDGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER-BOULDER CO
918 AM MST TUE JAN 11 2005

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER RIDGE  PILES  USFS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
917 AM MST TUE JAN 11 2005

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS.

SYNOPSIS...A MOIST AND BRISK SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER
THE AREA TODAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.  THE AIRMASS WILL
BECOME UNSTABLE TODAY...WHICH WILL INCREASE MIXING HEIGHTS.
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE...PROVIDING FOR GOOD AFTERNOON
DISPERSION.  THE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL AID IN SNOW SHOWER
DEVELOPMENT...BUT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR.  THE AIRMASS WILL
QUICKLY STABILIZE THIS EVENING AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
AREA.  ON WEDNESDAY...THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
WITH THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMING NORTHWEST AND DECREASE. THE COLDER
AIR AND WEAKENING TRANSPORT WINDS WILL HINDER SMOKE DISPERSION
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  THE MIXING HEIGHTS MAY BE HIGH ENOUGH
TO PUSH THE DISPERSION INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY FOR A FEW HOURS
IN THE AFTERNOON.

EXTENDED SYNOPSIS...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE
THROUGH SATURDAY.  TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT
AS WARM AIR ALOFT WILL CREATE INVERSIONS JUST OFF THE
SURFACE. THIS COULD HINDER SMOKE DISPERSION.

$$
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH
                    AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR.  GOOD TO VERY
                    GOOD AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH AFTER
                    1300.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-18.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1800...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FEET AGL...LOWERING TO AROUND 1000 FEET
                    AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 MPH
                    BY 2000...BECOMING WEST AFTER 0200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-32.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. FAIR BETWEEN 1300 AND 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER 1100.

.THURSDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS NEAR ZERO. HIGHS AROUND 20. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS
THAN 12 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8 BELOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6 BELOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.

$$
030

$$

REQUESTED BY...DAVID LOVATO
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, USFWS, BIA).