000 
FNUS73 KFSD 141320
FWSFSD

SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF LAKE NORTH BURN...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
801 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2004

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT ACROSS
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AROUND MIDDAY...WITH LINGERING MORNING CLOUDS
BREAKING BY AROUND 10 AM.  CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AGAIN LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW HOURS OF LOW THREAT FOR LIGHT RAINFALL FROM 5
PM TO 9 PM.  A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE BURN AREA
BETWEEN 1 AM AND 3 AM TONIGHT...AND WILL RESULT IN AN ABRUPT WIND
SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST...AND WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 35
MPH LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH FRIDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF NOON CDT 10/14/04


FORECAST FOR THURSDAY
TIME(CDT)             9AM         NOON         3PM          6PM

SKY.................. MOCLDY      PTCLDY       MOCLDY       MOCLDY
WX................... NO WX       NO WX        NO WX        SHRA
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%).                                       24
TEMP (F)............. 38          44           49           47
DEW PT (F)........... 32          28           28           30
RH (%)............... 78          51           44           51
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... NW-6        NW-8         NW-12        W-5
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 788         1710         2633         1840
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). NW-10       NW-10        NW-13        W-8
DISPERSION INDEX..... FAIR        FAIR         GOOD         FAIR
HAINES INDEX......... 4 (LOW)     5 (MOD)      4 (LOW)      4 (LOW)



OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
TIME(CDT)             9PM         12AM         3AM          6AM



SKY.................. CLDY        CLDY         MOCLDY       MOCLDY
WX................... SHRA        NO WX        NO WX        SHRA
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%). 20                                    <20
TEMP (F)............. 42          39           37           36
DEW PT (F)........... 30          30           32           35
RH (%)............... 64          70           82           96
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... W-1         W-2          NW-13        NW-19
HAINES INDEX......... 3 (VLO)     3 (VLO)      3 (VLO)      3 (VLO)


OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON
TIME(CDT)             9AM         NOON         3PM          6PM


SKY.................. MOCLDY      MOCLDY       MOCLDY       CLDY
WX................... SHRA        SHRA         SHRA         NO WX
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%). <20         <20          <20
TEMP (F)............. 38          43           45           43
DEW PT (F)........... 38          36           33           30
RH (%)............... 100         78           62           59
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... NW-24G32    NW-26G33     NW-26G34     NW-23G31
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 2393        3811         4819         4236
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). NW-34       NW-35        NW-35        NW-35
DISPERSION INDEX..... EXCELLENT   EXCELLENT    EXCELLENT    EXCELLENT
HAINES INDEX......... 3 (VLO)     3 (VLO)      3 (VLO)      3 (VLO)


$$