000 FNUS56 KPQR 020005 FWFPQR FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NW OREGON AND SW WASHINGTON...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON 500 PM PDT SUN AUG 1 2004 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR EPISODE LIGHTNING OVER 608 AND 607 THIS EVENING... ...TURNING COOLER WITH HIGHER RH FOR TUE THROUGH SAT... .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO PULL SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE SOUTH PART OF THE DISTRICT. WILL SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE OREGON CASCADES IN ZONES 607 AND 608. AND DUE TO...VARIED RAINFALL...COMBINED WITH CRITICALLY LOW FUEL MOISTURES COULD SEE PROBLEMS. THE LOW IS STILL NEARBY ON MONDAY...SO SHOULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER ZONES 608 MONDAY AFTERNOON. THREAT ENDS MONDAY EVENING AS UPPER FLOW TURNS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AS THE LOW SLOWLY LIFTS NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL OREGON MONDAY NIGHT. THE ONSHORE FLOW INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT AS A MARINE PUSH DEVELOPS...BRINGING COOLER AIR AND HIGHER HUMIDITY TO THE DISTRICT FOR TUE. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ARRIVE LATER WED AND THU... BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...BUT MAINLY MUCH COOLER AIR AND HIGH HUMIDITIES. STILL NO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED. LONG RANGE STILL INDICATES COOL TEMPS AND HIGH HUMIDITIES INTO NEXT WEEKEND. FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION. HUMIDITY/TEMPERATURE TRENDS ARE FOR 24 HOURS. SPOT TEMPS/HUMIDITY ARE FOR TONIGHT...MON...MON NIGHT...AND TUE. ORZ601-612-WAZ601-021545- AREA 1A...COASTAL ZONES 601 612 245 PM PDT SUN AUG 1 2004 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 54. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COASTAL STRIP........NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH...EASING TO 2-3 MPH. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT DRAINAGE AFTER DARK. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH EARLY...BECOMING LIGHT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-78 INLAND AND 62-68 COASTAL STRIP. 24 HR TREND......3-4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........42-57 PERCENT INLAND AND 57-68 PERCENT COASTAL STRIP. 24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COASTAL STRIP........NORTHWEST WIND 4-7 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COASTAL STRIP........WEST 5-8 MPH...EASING TO 2-3 MPH. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...WEST 1-3 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH EARLY...BECOMING LIGHT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 INLAND AND 63-67 COASTAL STRIP. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE COAST. BUT 5-8 DEGREES COOLER INLAND. MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT INLAND AND 66-72 PERCENT COASTAL STRIP. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COASTAL STRIP........WEST WINDS 3-7 MPH. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 4-6 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT NORTH TO 0 PERCENT SOUTH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 62-72. LOWS 48-55. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 55-65 PERCENT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH. LAL 1. TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY HUCKLEBRY 53 78 53 70 / 82 40 82 52 CANNIBAL 54 76 54 73 / 100 63 93 60 DUNES 53 65 54 64 / 99 68 95 69 = $$ ORZ602-603-WAZ602-021545- AREA 1B...COASTAL ZONES 602 603 245 PM PDT SUN AUG 1 2004 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF CLOUDS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-55. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........AREAS OF MORNING CLOUDS...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-82...WARMEST SOUTH 603. 24 HR TREND......1-3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........36-45 PERCENT..LOWEST SOUTH 603. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 4-7 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF DRIZZLE LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 56. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....WEST WIND 3-6 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS ZONE 602. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77. 24 HR TREND......4-9 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........48-60 PERCENT...LOWEST SOUTH 603. 24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 1-3 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3-7 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 68-74. LOWS 48-55. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 55-65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 2-5 MPH. LAL 1. TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY ABERNATHY 53 78 54 75 / 83 37 88 57 RYE MTN 53 79 55 73 / 91 48 92 50 VILLAGE CK 55 82 53 77 / 85 45 95 49 = $$ ORZ604-WAZ604-021545- AREA 2...WILLAMETTE VALLEY ZONE 604 245 PM PDT SUN AUG 1 2004 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THIS EVEING. AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2-5 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING CLOUDS...THEN PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE......80 TP 83. 24 HR TREND......2-4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........33-40 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 2-5 MPH LATE. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-59. 24 HR TREND......1-2 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 92 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-79. 24 HR TREND......4-7 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3-5 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 70-78. LOWS 48-55. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 45-55 PERCENT. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH. LAL 1. TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY SALEM 55 83 55 78 / 89 34 97 45 = $$ ORZ605-607-WAZ660-021545- AREA 3...CASCADE ZONES 660 605 607 500 PM PDT SUN AUG 1 2004 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR EPISODE LIGHTNING OVER 607 TIL 2300. .TONIGHT.. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS RETURNING AFTER 0200. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO ZONE 607. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-56 EXCEPT AROUND 58 COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 85 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COLUMBIA GORGE.......WEST 3-7 MPH...EASING TO 2-4 MPH LATE. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...NORTHWEST 1-2 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH EARLY...BECOMING LIGHT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1 EXCEPT LAL 3 ZONE 607. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........AREAS OF MORNING CLOUDS...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN 607 AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-82 EXCEPT 83-86 COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE. 24 HR TREND......3-5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........28-41 PERCENT..HIGHEST IN ZONE 660. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COLUMBIA GORGE.......WEST WIND 3-7 MPH. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 1-2 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 4-7 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. BUT LAL 2 OVER EASTERN 607 AFTER 1200. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TIL 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56. 24 HR TREND......1 OR 2 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COLUMBIA GORGE.......WEST WIND 3-7 MPH. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...WEST WINDS 1-2 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....WEST WINDS 4-7 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................LAL 1...EXCEPT LAL 2 OVER EASTERN 607 TIL 2000. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-75...75-80 NEAR HOOD RIVER. 24 HR TREND......7-10 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT. 35-40 PERCENT NEAR HOOD RIVER. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... COLUMBIA GORGE.......WEST WIND 3 MPH BECOMING WEST 7-10 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS NEAR HOOD RIVER 20-25 MPH. VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....WEST 3-5 MPH...BECOMING 6-9 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 63- 73...BUT UPPER 50S IN HIGHER TERRAIN. LOWS 45 TO 55. WEST WINDS 4-7 MPH...BUT 10-13 MPH AND GUSTY OVER THE RIDGES AND GORGE. LAL 1. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING. HIGHS 68- 78...BUT UPPER 50S IN HIGHER TERRAIN. LOWS 45 TO 55. WEST WINDS 3-7 MPH. LAL 1. TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY HAMILTON 53 78 52 73 / 77 36 97 56 HORSE CRK 54 79 55 73 / 80 45 97 54 LOG CREEK 51 76 51 71 / 79 33 97 55 RED BOX 50 80 51 73 / 88 25 97 52 = $$ ORZ606-608-021545- AREA 4...CASCADE ZONES 606 608 500 PM PDT SUN AUG 1 2004 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR EPISODE LIGHTNING OVER 608 TIL 2300... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER 606 AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER 608. THUNDERSTORM DECREASING AROUND 2300...THEN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55. 24 HR TREND......1-3 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......3-5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...NORTHWEST 0-2 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. NOTE: WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT NORTH TO 10 PERCENT SOUTH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR (LOW) TO (MODERATE). LAL.................LAL 2 OVER 606 AND NORTH 608. LAL 3 OVER 608. AFTER 2300 ALL AREAS LAL 1. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING CLOUDS...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-85...WARMEST SOUTH 608. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY........33-45 PERCENT...BUT 25-30 PERCENT SOUTH 608. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS. NOTE: WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN LAL 2...BUT 3 OVER SOUTH 608. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........OVER 90 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 1-3 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5-8 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). LAL.................LAL 2 OVER 606 BUT LAL 3 OVER SOUTH 608. AFTER 2000 LAL 1. 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING CLOUDS...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-80. 24 HR TREND......4-8 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT...BUT 35 PERCENT SOUTH 608. 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 1-3 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3-7 MPH. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). LAL.................1. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 67- 75. LOWS 45 TO 55. WEST WINDS 3-7 MPH...BUT 8-10 MPH AND GUSTY OVER THE RIDGES. LAL 1. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LOWS 47 TO 55. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH. LAL 1. TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY YELLOWSTN 52 81 52 75 / 82 43 97 52 TROUT CRK 53 84 53 80 / 86 41 94 46 PEBBLE 50 84 51 77 / 86 25 97 44 EMIGRANT 51 87 52 80 / 80 24 83 36 = $$ 5-DAY PROBABILITY FORECASTS (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY) RAIN GT .25 LIGHTNING LOW HUM WIND ZONES 601/612: 00121 00000 00000 00000 ZONES 602/603: 00110 00000 00000 00000 ZONE 604: 00010 00000 00000 00000 ZONES 660/605/607: 00121 30000 00000 01562 ZONES 606/608: 22011 81000 00000 00110 NWCC PREDICTIVE SERVICES DRYNESS LEVEL FORECASTS YESTERDAY TODAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY W2 RED RED YELLOW YELLOW GREEN W3 YELLOW YELLOW YELLOW YELLOW GREEN W4 RED RED YELLOW YELLOW GREEN FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT DRYNESS LEVELS...SEE THE WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.OR.BLM.GOV/NWCC/NWCC-REPORTS/RAWSGUIDE/DL.HTM FORECASTER...ROCKEY