742 
FXUS64 KLIX 281951
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA 
249 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING WAS VERY UNSTABLE WITH A 500HPA TEMP OF -11C 
AND AN LI OF -12C.  NEAR THE SURFACE THE STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED 
ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS INTO ARKANSAS...LEAVING WARM...MOIST 
ONSHORE FLOW IN OUR PCWA.  ALOFT THERE WERE WEAK DISTURBANCES OVER 
TEXAS AND DIVERGENT FLOW AT 300HPA OVER LOUISIANA/SOUTHERN 
MISSISSIPPI.  LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE DOES NOT 
BUILD STRONGLY INTO THE AREA.  THUS WE WILL KEEP POPS IN THE IN THE 
60-70 PERCENT RANGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND ONLY GRADUALLY LOWER 
THEM LATER THIS WEEK.  UNFORTUNATELY IT LOOKS LIKE THERE STILL WILL 
BE POPS AT OR ABOVE CLIMO FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND.

&&

PRELIMINARY POINT NUMBERS...
MCB 69 88 69 88 / 30 70 30 60
BTR 71 88 71 88 / 30 70 30 60
MSY 75 89 75 89 / 30 60 30 60 
GPT 74 87 74 87 / 30 60 30 60
&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

25