202 FXUS63 KFSD 192000 AFDFSD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 300 PM CDT MON APR 19 2004 .DISCUSSION... SUBSIDENT HIGH PRES MOVG ESEWD OVR CWA THIS EVE FLWD BY INCRG SELY FLW DURG NGT. SC CLDS SHOULD BRK UP THIS EVE...BUT HIGHER CLDS MOVG IN FM W. TEMPS SHOULD DROP MORE THAN GUID WITH RADIATIONAL COOLING. MODELS SEEM A LIT FAST WITH NEXT MAJOR TROF MOVG IN FM RCKYS. THIS SYS SHOULD RAPIDLY PULL DEEP MOISTURE NWD FM SRN PLAINS LATER TNGT INTO TUE...AND WITH GOOD ISENTROPIC LIFT EXPCD...WILL GO WITH ALL THE MODELS WDSPRD SHWRS MOVG NEWD OVR CWA TUE WITH CHC TSTMS IN SRN CWA IN THE AFTN. SEEMS WITH EVAP COOLING THAT GUID HIGHS A LIT ON THE WARM SIDE TUE...ESP IN NRN CWA. STILL WRAPAROUND MAINLY NERN CWA FOR TUE NGT...THEN CLDS SHOULD GRADUALLY BRK FM W TO E IN CWA ALG WITH MODERATING TEMPS THRU WED. MOST LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW UPR LOW AFFECTING SRN CWA THU AFTN THRU FRI MRNG AND WILL HAVE MAIN CHC SHWRS DOWN THERE. THEN ANOTHER TROF MOVG IN FM RCKYS THIS WEEKEND WITH A CHC SHWRS PLANNED FOR SUN. OVERALL TEMPS LOOK ON THE COOLISH SIDE THRU MOST OF FCST...BUT SHOULD BE NICE BTWN THE CHCS OF RAIN. && .FSD...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...NONE. MN...NONE. IA...NONE. NE...NONE. && $$ RYRHOLM