532 
FXUS66 KLOX 111203
AFDLOX

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
400 AM PST THU MAR 11 2004

.SHORT TERM...
THE BATTLE OF THE INVERSION AND OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. DESPITE 
GOOD MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY WINDS THE MARINE LAYER HAS SURGED INTO THE 
L.A. COASTAL PLAIN...PROTECTED BY THE STRONG INVERSION WHICH IS 
DEFLECTING THE WINDS OVER THE FOG. WITH GRADIENTS TIGHTENING THINK 
FOG WILL BREAK UP EARLIER THAN YDY AND WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO BE ABOUT 
5 DEGREES WARMER THAN YDY BUT STILL LOWER THAN THOUGHT PREVIOUSLY.

WINDS SHOULD PEAK AFTER SUNRISE BUT THEN SHOULD QUICKLY DIE AROUND 
MID DAY AS SUPPORT RAPIDALY COLLAPSES.

FRIDAY NOW LOOKS PRETTY GLOOMY WITH AN EDDY FORECAST TO BRING THE 
MARINE LAYER ALL THE WAY TO SBA. RIGHT NOW DO NOT THINK IT WILL BE 
ABLE TO GET INTO THE VALLEYS AS INVERSION IS PRETTY CRUSHING BUT DAY 
SHIFT WILL HAVE TO WATCH IT. AS A RESULT FRIDAY WILL BE RATHER COOL.

NEW MDLS ABANDON THOUGHT OF OFFSHORE FLOW ON SATURDAY AND INSTEAD 
CONTINUE WITH THE MARINE LAYER AND THE EDDY THUS TEMPS WILL NOT WARM.

.LONG TERM...
GFS CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE GOOD OFFSHORE FLOW ON SUNDAY AND DID KEEP 
THE FORECAST ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE CHANGES THE MDLS HAVE BEEN DOING AS 
DAYS GET NEARER WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOMETHING DIFFERENT. 

FLOW TURNS NEUTRAL MONDAY AND THEN TURNS INCREASINGLY OFFSHORE FOR 
THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL COOLING TREND.


&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX)
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX)
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX)


&&

$$

RORKE