447 
FXUS62 KMLB 071425
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
920 AM EST SAT FEB  7 2004

...A BRIEF COLD SPELL FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...
KMLB 88D SHOWS THIN BAND OF SHOWERS MOVING EAST FROM MARTIN COUNTY 
THIS MORNING ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AT 13Z TEMPS WERE IN THE LWR 
70S ACROSS MARTIN COUNTY TO THE LWR 60S ACROSS NRN AREAS. SW WINDS 
HAVE BECOME W/WNW BEHIND THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY THIS 
MORNING. STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN THE PENINSULA LATER THIS AFTN 
AS CONTINENTAL AIRMASS ACROSS N FL MOVES OUR WAY. 13Z TEMPS IN THE 
UPPER 30S AT KTLH WITH DWPTS IN THE MID 30S INDICATIVE OF COLDER 
TEMPS THAT WILL BE MOVING DOWN THE PENINSULA LATER TONIGHT. 

STILL SEEING SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES FALLING FROM MID LEVEL 
DECK ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE PENINSULA. WILL KEEP LOW POP 
INTO AFTN ACROSS SRN SECTIONS. TEMPS MAY RISE A FEW DEGS ACROSS NRN 
SECTIONS IN THE EARLY AFTN WITH SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS BUT THEN 
DROP IN THE LATE AFTN WITH NW WINDS KICKING IN. WILL MAKE MINOR 
TWEAKS TO WINDS AND CLOUD COVER AS WELL ON UPDATE.    

&&

MARINE...AS OF 14Z FRONT AND ASCD CONVECTION HAD MADE IT THROUGH ALL 
BUT THE EXTREME SERN COF-JUP LEG...THOUGH SHRA/SPRINKLES HAVE BEEN
REDEVELOPING IN THE AREA BEHIND THE INITIAL FRONT. WHILE WINDS HAVE 
SHIFTED MOSTLY TO WEST...A SECOND REINFORCING NW SURGE IS ANALYZED 
ACROSS NORTH FL AND THIS WILL BE WORKING INTO THE ATLC WATERS BY 
THIS AFTERNOON. PLAN TO VEER WINDS TO NW BY AFTN OVER THE FLG-COF 
LEG AND W-NW @COF-JUP. ALSO PLAN TO SHOW LOWER SEAS NEAR SHORE FOR 
THE FIRST TWO CWF PERIODS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPTIER INLET.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...VOLKMER
LONG TERM...CRISTALDI