000 FXUS64 KCRP 200839 AFDCRP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 238 AM CST THU NOV 20 2003 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THRU FRI)...CLOUDINESS WILL BE SCANT AS MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED. PATCHY/AREAS OF NIGHTTIME/MORNING FOG BECOME INCREASINGLY PREVALENT AS DRY AIR ALOFT OVERLAYS SHALLOW INCREASING MOISTURE WITH HEIGHT AND DECOUPLING REMAINS DOMINANT. THIS SCENARIO FAVORS THE COOLER GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE TEMPERED TODAY DUE TO THE SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE COOLER SSTS. LONGER PERIOD OF A SOUTHERLY FLOW FRIDAY WILL ALLOW DAYTIME TEMPERATURES TO APPROACH THE WARMER GUIDANCE VALUES. && .LONG-TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...WINDS BEGIN TO PICK UP ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS AROUND THE PANHANDLES. EXPECT SCA CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... WITH NEAR WINDY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY OVER THE INLAND SECTIONS. COULD SEE A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS OVER THE GULF WATERS AS LIMITED MOISTURE AND CONVERGENCE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. FRONTAL TIMING IS THE BIG CONCERN FOR SUNDAY...AND IF THERE WILL BE ANY PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH IT. GFS IS FASTEST WHILE ETA APPEARS TO BE A BIT SLOWER. UKMET AND NOGAPS ALSO APPEAR A LITTLE SLOWER. WILL STILL REMAIN CLOSER TO GFS SOLUTION...AND LET DAY SHIFT TAKE A BETTER LOOK AT THINGS. WILL KEEP POP FORECAST AS IS FOR NOW AS WELL...BUT GFS IS HINTING THAT MOST OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE PUSHED TO THE NORTHEAST BY THE TIME THE FRONT MOVES DOWN. DEFINITE SCA CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY...BEFORE WINDS TURN AROUND ONCE MORE. GFS IS HINTING AT A RATHER COLD AIRMASS WITH THIS SYSTEM AND WILL LOWER MIN AND MAX TEMPS A LITTLE MORE. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY BUT IT APPEARS MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO MENTION RAIN AT THIS TIME. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 76 52 80 63 / 00 00 00 00 VICTORIA 77 50 81 59 / 00 00 00 00 LAREDO 80 56 83 61 / 00 00 00 00 && .CRP...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ 85/BB...(SHORT-TERM) 86/GW...(LONG-TERM)