000 
FXUS65 KTFX 010914
AFDTFX

SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
300 AM MDT MON SEP 01 2003

.DISCUSSION...FIRST WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH NORTHEASTERN ZONES
WITH NEXT ONE ENTERING THE NORTHWEST ZONES. VERY LITTLE WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH EITHER DISTURBANCE. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WITH
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH CWA THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH OF FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE TODAY BUT SMOKE MAY CAUSE SOME
VISIBILITY PROBLEMS ALONG THE NORTH AND NORTHCENTRAL ZONES. WINDS
DO NOT SEEM TO BE AS STRONG AS PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE LESS THAN 20 PERCENT WITH FIRE DANGERS
IN THE HIGH TO VERY HIGH CATEGORIES. WILL CANCEL THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD DOWN THE EAST SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES TONIGHT WITH COOLER AIR
AND THE RETURN OF EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS. CAMP

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE WITH
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES RIDING
THROUGH THE RIDGE MAY BRING OCCASIONAL CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
MOUNTAIN SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHWEST, OTHERWISE NOT MUCH WEATHER TO
SPEAK OF.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...RIDGE BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST AS A TROUGH OFF THE
WEST COAST DEEPENS AND MOVES EVER CLOSER. A MORE MOIST SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRIES TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THIS STORM AND MAY PROVIDE US
WITH OUR FIRST REAL CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN QUITE A WHILE.

.CCF NUMBERS
GTF UU 085/047 081/047 086 07000
    UBBBB 051/088 050/083 050/083 048/083 048 00000000022
CTB UU 082/043 079/045 084 07000
    UUBBB 049/084 047/081 048/081 046/081 046 00000000022
HLN UU 086/049 084/050 088 07000
    UBBUU 053/088 058/086 052/086 048/086 048 00000000022
BZN UU 085/044 082/043 085 07000
    UBBBB 045/085 044/082 043/082 044/082 044 00011113322
WEY UU 075/040 070/038 076 07000
    UBBBB 041/076 039/074 039/074 037/074 037 00012223333
DLN UU 082/046 082/047 084 07000
    UBBBB 049/083 047/079 047/079 047/079 047 00012222233
HVR UU 086/045 080/044 088 07000
    UUBBB 049/088 048/085 050/085 048/085 048 00000000011
LWT UU 084/046 078/044 084 07000
    UBBBB 049/085 048/085 048/085 047/085 047 00000000022

.TFX...NONE.

$$