073 FXUS66 KPQR 302136 AFDPQR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 300 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2003 .SYNOPSIS...POST FRONTAL SHOWERS ARE DECREASING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS THIS EVENING. THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE TRANSITIONING INTO AN ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY...WITH MORNING CLOUDS AND AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BREAKS BECOMING MORE EVIDENT IN THE CLOUD COVER OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS OVER THE AREA ARE DECREASING AS THE MAIN AREA OF ECHOS SHIFTS NORTHEASTWARD. A RETURN TO A COOL MARINE INFLUENCE WILL RETURN TONIGHT. A SURFACE HIGH WILL BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE NE PAC...KEEPING THE AREA IN WEAK TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP MARINE CLOUDS OVER THE INLAND AREAS FOR THE NIGHTTIME AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...THEN BREAKOUT WITH SUNSHINE BY AFTERNOON. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. .LONG TERM...GFS IS STILL FLIP-FLOPPING ON THE WEAK FRONT ON FRI NIGHT/SAT...WITH THE 12Z RUN KEEPING THE MOISTURE NORTH OF OUR AREA. THE WORST CASE SCENARIO WOULD ONLY GIVE PRECIP TO THE NORTH COAST. AM NOT GOING TO CHANGE THE FORECAST TREND AT THIS POINT...WILL WAIT FOR BETTER CONFIRMATION ON THIS SYSTEM BEFORE CHANGING CURRENT FORECAST. EXTENDED FORECAST WILL CONTINUE ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WITH MORNING CLOUDS AND AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. AST 001010 PDX 000000 SLE 000000 EUG 000000 .PQR...NONE. $$