FNUS56 KPQR 291644 FWFPQR FIRE WEATHER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 WEISHAAR ...NEAR RED-FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY EAST SIDE... ...SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING CASCADE ZONES... ...MARINE SURGE TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .DISCUSSION...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN ALREADY UNDERWAY. CLASSIC BREAKDOWN OF AN UPPER RIDGE. A DISTURBANCE IN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST THIS MORNING WAS PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS THERE. THESE STORMS WILL SPREAD NORTH THIS MORNING AND COULD GET INTO THE MT. HOOD AND GIFFORD PINCHOT. THE INITIAL STORMS COULD BE DRY...BUT SHOULD MOISTEN RATHER QUICKLY. THEREFORE...HAVE OPTED NOT TO GO WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN THOSE AREAS. THE OTHER PROBLEM IS ON THE EAST SIDE. THE CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE DROPPED...BUT NEAR RED-FLAG CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING. HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW...BUT DO NOT EXPECT THE WIND TO PICK UP UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. BY THAT TIME HUMIDITY SHOULD BE STARTING TO RISE. THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SOME OF THESE COULD BE DRY. THE AIR MASS WILL GET A LITTLE MORE MOIST AND BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON THE MAIN THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE BEEN FORCED FURTHER EAST. A MARINE SURGE WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY. THERE COULD EVEN BE SOME WETTING RAIN IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES MONDAY. MID LEVEL HAINES INDEX THIS MORNING... SALEM 5 MEDFORD 5 HIGH LEVEL HAINES INDEX THIS MORNING... SALEM 5 MEDFORD 3 BOISE M SPOKANE 5 **************************************************************** FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION. HUMIDITY/TEMPERATURE TRENDS ARE FOR 24 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. SPOT TEMP/RH ARE FOR TODAY...TONIGHT...AND MONDAY. **************************************************************** ORZ001>004-WAZ020>022-292145- AREA 1A...COASTAL ZONES 601 612 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 .TODAY... WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMP: HIGHS 66-76. 24 HR TREND: 15-20 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 40-55%...EXCEPT 55-65% BEACHES. 24 HR TREND: 12-20 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...SW 8-12 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH. COASTAL STRIP...SW-W 6-10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...S-SW 4-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CWR: 10%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMP: LOWS 45-55. 24 HR TREND: 5-10 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS ABOVE 80%. 24 HR TREND: 20-35% HIGHER INLAND. LITTLE CHANGE BEACHES. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...SW 6-9 MPH. COASTAL STRIP...S-SW 5-9 MPH. ELSEWHERE...S-SW 3-7 MPH. CWR: 20%. HAINES: 4 (MODERATE). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMP: HIGHS 59-69. 24 HR TREND: 9-14 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4-9 COOLER BEACHES. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 55-70%. 24 HR TREND: 15-20 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 6-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 24 MPH. COASTAL STRIP...SW-W 5-9 MPH. ELSEWHERE...W 4-8 MPH. CWR: 30%. HAINES: 3 (LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY ABERNATHY 74 51 60 / 43 97 70 HUCKLEBRY 71 49 59 / 44 99 74 CANNIBAL 67 50 61 / 54 94 70 ================================================================== ORZ003>005-WAZ020-022-292145- AREA 1B...COASTAL ZONES 602 603 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 .TODAY... WEATHER: A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: HIGHS 75-85. 24 HR TREND: 10-15 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 31-46%. 24 HR TREND: 10-15 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...SW 8-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 26 MPH. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 5-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CWR: 20%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMP: LOWS 47-55. 24 HR TREND: 7-12 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS ABOVE 80%. 24 HR TREND: 20-35 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...SW 6-9 MPH. ELSEWHERE...S-SW 3-7 MPH. CWR: 20%. HAINES: 4 (MODERATE). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMP: HIGHS 62-72...EXCEPT 55-61 RIDGE-TOPS. 24 HR TREND: 10-14 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 55-65%. 24 HR TREND: 20-25 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 7-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 22 MPH. ELSEWHERE...W-NW 4-8 MPH. CWR: 30%. HAINES: 3 (LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY RYE MTN 80 48 65 / 29 92 65 VILLAGE CK 84 51 69 / 36 95 55 ================================================================== ORZ006>008-WAZ039-292145- AREA 2...WILLAMETTE VALLEY ZONE 604 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 .TODAY... WEATHER: PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED MORNING SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMP: HIGHS 80-86. 24 HR TREND: 10-12 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 35-45%. 24 HR TREND: 8-12 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: NORTH OF ALBANY...SW-W 7-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 22 MPH. ELSEWHERE...S-SW 5-9 MPH...BECOMING SW-W TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2 UNTIL 1300 THEN 1. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMP: LOWS 50-59. 24 HR TREND: 6-9 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS ABOVE 80%. 24 HR TREND: 12-20 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: S-SW 4-7 MPH. CWR: 10%. HAINES: 4 (MODERATE). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMP: HIGHS 65-72. 24 HR TREND: 15 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 48-58%. 24 HR TREND: 12-17 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: NORTH OF ALBANY...SW 4-8 MPH...SHIFTING TO W-NW IN THE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...S-SW 4-8 MPH...SHIFTING TO NW 6-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR: 20%. HAINES: 3 (LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY SALEM 85 53 70 / 34 88 55 ================================================================== WAZ040-019-023-ORZ009>011-292145- AREA 3...CASCADE ZONES 660 605 607 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 .TODAY... WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. INITIAL THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE DRY. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. TEMP: HIGHS 77-87...EXCEPT 69-76 RIDGE-TOPS. 24 HR TREND: 6-10 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 28-43%. 24 HR TREND: 8-12 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 9-13 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH. COLUMBIA RIVER...SW 5-8 MPH WEST OF STEVENSON. W-NW 4-8 MPH EASTWARD...INCREASING TO 9-13 MPH LATE IN THE DAY WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 5-9 MPH. LATE DAY GUSTS TO 20 MPH EXPOSED AREAS. CWR: 20%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN LAL 1. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. TEMP: LOWS 45-55. 24 HR TREND: 12-20 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS 75-90%. 24 HR TREND: GENERALLY 35-45 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 8-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH. COLUMBIA RIVER...SW-W 5-9 MPH WEST OF STEVENSON. W 9-14 MPH EASTWARD WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...EASING TO 5-9 MPH OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 3-7 MPH. CWR: 10%. HAINES: 4 (MODERATE). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. TEMP: HIGHS IN THE 60S...EXCEPT 53-59 RIDGE-TOPS. 24 HR TREND: 15-20 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 55-70%. 24 HR TREND: 25-35 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 7-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 26 MPH. COLUMBIA RIVER...SW-W 5-9 MPH WEST OF STEVENSON. W-NW 9-13 MPH EASTWARD WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. ELSEWHERE...W-NW 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CWR: 30%. HAINES: 2 (VERY LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY HAMILTON 81 53 61 / 27 88 65 HORSE CRK 79 49 62 / 35 84 62 LOG CREEK 83 48 63 / 27 95 68 RED BOX 85 48 64 / 26 93 60 ================================================================== ORZ010>013-292145- AREA 4...CASCADE ZONES 606 608 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 .TODAY... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CREST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMP: HIGHS 78-88...EXCEPT 70-77 RIDGE-TOPS. 24 HR TREND: 6-10 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 25-35%...LOCALLY NEAR 20%. 24 HR TREND: 5-10 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...SW-W 8-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 26 MPH. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 5-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CWR: 10%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN LAL 1. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: LOWS 47-57...EXCEPT 40-47 ABOVE PASSES. 24 HR TREND: 8-15 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS 75-90%. 24 HR TREND: 30-40 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 6-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 23 MPH. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 3-7 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 4 (MODERATE). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: HIGHS 65-75...EXCEPT 58-64 RIDGE-TOPS. 24 HR TREND: 12-16 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 43-58%...EXCEPT NEAR 35% FAR SOUTH. 24 HR TREND: 15-25 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 6-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 24 MPH. ELSEWHERE...W-NW 5-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 21 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 3 (LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY YELLOWSTN 82 49 65 / 28 80 52 TROUT CRK 84 51 69 / 39 89 59 PEBBLE 83 50 68 / 29 92 48 EMIGRANT 88 51 73 / 23 78 37 ================================================================== ORZ042-292145- AREA 5A...EASTSIDE ZONE 609 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 ...NEAR RED-FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY... .TODAY... WEATHER: A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. INITIAL STORMS COULD BE DRY. TEMP: HIGHS 83-93...EXCEPT 75-82 RIDGES AND NEAR THE CREST. 24 HR TREND: 5 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 17-30%. 24 HR TREND: 5-10 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...SW 7-11 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 MPH LATE WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH. ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY SW-W 5-9 MPH...INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH LATE WITH GUSTS 20-30 MPH. STRONGEST WIND EAST. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: LOWS 45-55. 24 HR TREND: 7-14 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS 65-80%. 24 HR TREND: 25-35 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 9-14 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WIND EASING TO 7-10 MPH OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 7-12 MPH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH...THEN EASING TO 4-8 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: HIGHS IN THE 70S...EXCEPT 62-69 RIDGES AND NEAR THE CREST. 24 HR TREND: 12-18 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 35-45% WEST AND 25-35% EAST. 24 HR TREND: 10-15 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 7-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH. ELSEWHERE...W-NW 5-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 3 (LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY POLLYWOG 91 52 72 / 17 70 43 WAMIC MILL 93 54 75 / 15 68 35 ================================================================== ORZ042-043-292145- AREA 5B...EASTSIDE ZONES 610 611 845 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 ...NEAR RED-FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY... .TODAY... WEATHER: A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. INITIAL STORMS COULD BE DRY. PARTLY CLOUDY LATER. TEMP: HIGHS 85-95 VALLEYS AND 76-85 RIDGES. 24 HR TREND: 5 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 13-25%. 24 HR TREND: 5-9 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W-NW INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 26 MPH. ELSEWHERE...SW 6-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 2. .TONIGHT... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: LOWS 45-55. 24 HR TREND: 5-10 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MAXIMUMS 65-80%. 24 HR TREND: 25-35 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 7-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 26 MPH. ELSEWHERE...SW-W 7-11 MPH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 26 MPH THEN DECREASING TO 4-7 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 5 (HIGH). LAL: 1. .MONDAY... WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMP: HIGHS 72-82. 24 HR TREND: 10-15 DEGREES COOLER. HUMIDITY: MINIMUMS 25-40%. 24 HR TREND: 10-15 PERCENT HIGHER. WIND: PEAKS/RIDGES...W 7-11 MPH. GUSTS TO 26 MPH. ELSEWHERE...W-NW 5-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. CWR: 0%. HAINES: 3 (LOW). LAL: 1. .< TEMPERATURE / HUMIDITY HEHE BUTTE 94 48 79 / 14 70 26 MUTTON MTN 91 54 74 / 16 55 31 CABIN LAKE 90 54 79 / 15 80 25 LAVA BUTTE 92 52 79 / 17 75 27 ================================================================== $$