753 
FXUS61 KCAR 150658
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
300 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003

.SYNOPSIS...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION 
EARLY TODAY AS AN UPPER LOW CROSSES THE STATE. THIS WILL KEEP THINGS 
UNSETTLED WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN 
SECTIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING OVER THE STATE LATER 
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

DISCUSSION...
JUST MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE CURRENT PACKAGE OTHERWISE 
TRENDS NEXT FEW DAYS REMAIN GENERALLY UNCHANGED...

HEALTHY SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY ROTATING SEWRD ACROSS S CENTRAL QUEBEC 
PER LATEST SAT PIX AND THIS RESULTING IN A DEVELOPING LINE OF 
SHOWERS ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE SEAWAY PER BUFCAN RADAR... MODELS 
SIMILAR IN SWING THIS SHORT WAVE AND UPPER LOW SE ACROSS THE CWA 
LATER THIS AM AND THEN E OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  THEREAFTER 
...NICE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE STATE FOR WARMER TEMPS AND DRY CONDS 
THRU WED.

WILL KEEP LIKELY POPS FOR SHOWERS TODAY W/ BEST CHANCE EXPECTED THRU 
THE AM HOURS.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER LOW 
AND POTENT SHORT WAVE SHIFT E OF THE AREA.  CLOUDS WILL DECREASE 
TONIGHT AND HAVE CONTINUED MENTION OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING.  PARTLY 
CLOUDY CONDITIONS NORTH AND MOSTLY SUNNY SOUTH EXPECTED TO THEN 
PREVAIL THRU WED.  HAVE KEPT SHOWERS GOING LATE WED NIGHT W/ 
APPROACH OF NEXT FRONT BUT DROPPED MENTION OF TSTMS GIVEN TIME OF 
DAY AND TO BETTER MATCH UP W/ GYX...

MARINE...EXPECT WINDS TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING...HOWEVER 
WILL KEEP SCA FOR SEAS THIS MORNING DUE TO SWELL FIELD EXTENDING 
FROM THE COASTAL WATERS TO SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. WILL GO SLIGHTLY 
ABOVE WAVE WATCH III FOR HEIGHTS. WAVES SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW 5 FT BY 
LATER THIS MORNING.

AVIATION...BRING SHOWERS IN FOR CAR BETWEEN 10 AND 18Z. WILL CARRY 
MVFR CEILINGS THROUGH 00Z FOR CAR AND HUL. IN BGR WILL CARRY IFR 
CEILING THROUGH 12Z THEN MVFR THROUGH 19Z.

.CAR...SCA FOR SEAS THIS AM.

KHW