851 
FXUS62 KFFC 140933
AFDATL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
530 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2003

...UPDATED TO INCLUDE AVIATION DISCUSSION...

CWA REMAINS IN A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. 
UPPER TROUGH STAYS TO OUR WEST WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING OVER 
GA. WILL KEEP POPS IN LIKELY CATEGORY FOR TODAY GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF 
MOISTURE AND THE APPROACH OF A SERIES OF WEAK VORT MAXES. SOME 
QUESTION AS TO WHETHER THE FRONT SINKS INTO NORTH GA BY MONDAY. AVN 
WANTS TO PUSH IT SOUTH WHILE THE ETA KEEPS IT TO OUR NORTH. WITH 
THIS UNCERTAINTY...WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND...AND INTO THE EXTENDED AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S AND 
70S.


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

KATL 83 69 85 68 / 70 40 40 30
KAHN 84 69 86 68 / 70 40 40 30
KGVL 81 68 85 67 / 70 40 40 30
KRMG 83 68 86 67 / 70 40 40 30
KCSG 86 72 89 72 / 60 40 40 30
KMCN 86 71 89 70 / 60 40 40 30

.ATL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...
TAFS SEEM TO BE FOLLOWING IFR CONDITIONS FAIRLY WELL OVERNIGHT WITH 
GENERAL 500 TO 800 FOOT CEILINGS/STRATUS DECK. GOING WITH 
PERSISTENCE FROM PAST TWO DAYS.  EXPECT CEILINGS TO HAVE GRADUAL 
CLIMB THROUGH MID MORNING AND NOONTIME WITH TEMPO IFR TRW CONDITIONS 
FOR THE AFTERNOON.  MESOETA SEEMS TO HAVE TARGETED SHORTWAVE ACROSS 
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI WITH LATEST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.  TAKES WAVE 
ACROSS ALABAMA INTO WEST CENTRAL GA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE SHEARING 
OUT FL PANHANDLE WAVE.  OVERALL...WILL GO WITH SCENARIO VERY SIMILAR 
TO YESTERDAY...WITH PRIMARY MVFR AND TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS THIS 
AFTERNOON. WINDS STAY SW AROUND 200 TO 240.

$$

AV-JCD