000 
AWUS41 KOKX 141005 CCA
RWSNYC
CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-142100-

WEATHER MAP DISCUSSION FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK 
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
500 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2003

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH HAS BEEN MAKING GRADUAL PROGRESS 
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO LOSE ITS 
GRIP ON THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER DAY 
WHERE CLOUDS DOMINATE. THE CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE LESS...ONLY 
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY VISIT THE REGION THURSDAY KEEPING 
THE AREA DRY. HOWEVER...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FORM 
ALONG THE VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW 
IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BRING RAIN INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH THE
RAIN TAPERING OFF TO SHOWERS AND ENDING FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH OVER 
NEW ENGLAND IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON 
SATURDAY AS THE LOW MOVES WELL OUT TO SEA.

TIDE LEVELS WILL BE ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH DUE TO A FULL MOON AS THE 
LOW PASSES TO OUR SOUTH. THUS...ONSHORE WINDS MAY LEAD TO COASTAL 
FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO 
FRIDAY NIGHT. 

&&

THE FORECAST ULTRAVIOLET INDEX FOR TODAY IS 5...WHICH IS CLASSIFIED 
AS MODERATE EXPOSURE.

$$