005 
ACUS11 KWNS 101417
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101416 
KSZ000-OKZ000-101715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0904
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0916 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...SERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101416Z - 101715Z

...LATE MORNING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
ERN OK AND SERN KS...

MID MORNING DIAGNOSTIC DATA SUGGEST A NARROW AXIS OF WEAKLY
INHIBITED INSTABILITY EXISTS FROM SWRN-NERN OK INTO SERN KS.  12Z
SOUNDING FROM OUN INDICATES A FAIRLY STOUT CAP BUT RECENT
SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY DEPICT VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH SOME
ECHOES.  THERE IS SOME QUESTION HOW QUICKLY THIS ACTIVITY WILL ROOT
INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND BECOME ORGANIZED.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AREAS EAST OF THE DRY LINE FOR POSSIBLE INTENSIFICATION AND
POSSIBLE WW.

..DARROW.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

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