815 
ACUS11 KWNS 061024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061023 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-061230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0782
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0523 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS ERN SC...ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 261...

VALID 061023Z - 061230Z

LINE OF TSTMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS ERN NC AND ERN SC
THROUGH NEXT 2-3 HOURS...SEVERE POTENTIAL IN TRANSITION TO DAMAGING
WIND AND ISOLATED/MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL.  LINEAR CONVECTIVE  MODE
SHOULD CONTINUE AS MCS MOVES OUT OF WW 261 BY APPROXIMATELY
12Z...AND WITH NRN PORTION OF CONVECTIVE LINE AS IT APPROACHES
PAMLICO SOUND AND OUTER BANKS.	VWP AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL VERTICAL WIND PROFILE ALIGNED CLOSE TO
ORIENTATION OF CONVECTIVE BAND.  ADDITIONAL CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
ATOP OUTFLOW POOL FROM THIS MCS ACROSS PORTIONS NRN SC AND MOVE EWD
OVER SRN/SERN NC..HOWEVER MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND ELEVATED NATURE
OF CONVECTION WILL PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT.	WW MAY BE
CANCELED BEFORE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION TIME IF WARRANTED BY CONVECTIVE
MOTION/INTENSITY TRENDS.

..EDWARDS.. 05/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

32668253 33588255 33827989 35477790 33777791 32688252 

35407787 36247649 36087558 35097550 33937767