966 
FXUS61 KCLE 141809
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
210 PM EDT MON APR 14 2003

MDLS APPEAR TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON HANDLING UPR LVL 
FEATURES. UPR LVL RDG OVR AREA GRDLY FLATTENS AS NXT MAJOR S/W MOVS 
INTO WRN STATES. BY 48 HRS LOW CLOSING OFF OVR CNTRL U.S.  MSTR 
FIELDS NULL ATTM BUT BGN TO BLD OVR PLNS STATES AND WELL N OF AREA 
AFT 24HRS. CNTRL U.S. SFC LOW SETTING UP FNTL BOUNDARY THRU CNTRL 
LKS AND THIS SLOLY DROPS S BUT NOT LIKELY TO AFFECT CWA UNTIL 
SOMETIME LATER IN THE DAY WED. FRH DATA COMING UP WITH ZERO QPF. 
SOME HIGHER RH WORKING INTO WRN SXN CWA BY WED EVE AND PCPN LKLY 
OVRNGT WED NGT. SO THE WAY IT LOOKS RIGHT NOW WL GO WITH A DRY FCST 
THRU TUE NGT. WL PRBBLY BRING A 30% POP IN WEST FOR DAYTIME WED WITH 
20% POPS ELSWR.

GUID TMPS FAIRLY CONSISTENT 1ST 3 PDS BUT QUITE A BIT OF VARIABILITY 
ON WED HIGHS WITH NGM CLOSE TO 10 DEGREES COOLER. THIS MNLY DUE 
(APPARENTLY)  TO NGM DROPPING FNT AND ASSCTD CLDS INTO AREA DURG 
DAY. ETA DOES BRING FNT INTO NRN OH BY AFTN THEN CNTRL OH BY EVE. WL 
PRBBLY PLAY BETWN MDLS WITH S CLOSER TO ETA AND N CLOSER TO NGM. FOR
HIGHS TMW WL LKLY BE FCSTG NR REC HIGHS FOR MUCH OF OH PTN OF ZNS.

.CLE...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
$$

VRCEK